Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 03/08, 16:00

Prediction: IF Vestri vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes

Team pages: IF Vestri · Grotta Seltjarnarnes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.17Total

IF Vestri2.16

Grotta Seltjarnarnes2.01

1X2

41% 23% 36%

IF Vestri Draw Grotta Seltjarnarnes

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

IF Vestri 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWWDDLLLLL

Grotta Seltjarnarnes 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLLDWWLW

Head-to-head

IF Vestri 1–1–4 Grotta Seltjarnarnes (6 last)

Grotta Seltjarnarnes5-3IF Vestri
IF Vestri0-4Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Grotta Seltjarnarnes3-0IF Vestri
IF Vestri3-0Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Grotta Seltjarnarnes2-2IF Vestri
Grotta Seltjarnarnes1-0IF Vestri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IF Vestri 1424 · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 1539

	IF Vestri	Draw	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Our model	42%	22%	36%
Market	41%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 4.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grotta Seltjarnarnes (rating 1424 vs 1539).
H2H favours Grotta Seltjarnarnes: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IF Vestri	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.5	2.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.7	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3	2.3 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.70

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +7’	2.20	3.70	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Vestri 1–1–4 Grotta Seltjarnarnes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	5-3 HT 1-1	IF Vestri
14/05/26 Iceland Cup	IF Vestri	0-4 HT 0-4	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
25/03/24 Iceland League Cup	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	3-0 HT 3-0	IF Vestri
29/07/23 Iceland 1 Deild	IF Vestri	3-0 HT 1-0	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
21/05/23 Iceland 1 Deild	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	2-2 HT 1-1	IF Vestri
06/04/23 Iceland Cup	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	1-0 HT 1-0	IF Vestri

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	14	10	1	3	43	21	31
2	Throttur Reykjavik	15	9	3	3	32	15	30
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	15	10	0	5	32	22	30
4	HK Kopavogur	16	9	1	6	38	29	28
5	Njardvik	15	7	2	6	23	21	23
6	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	14	7	1	6	29	28	22
7	IF Vestri	15	6	3	6	26	31	21
8	Leiknir Reykjavik	15	5	4	6	20	24	19
9	IR Reykjavik	16	4	4	8	27	36	16
10	Grindavik	15	2	8	5	15	20	14
11	Volsungur	15	2	5	8	19	34	11
12	KF Aegir	15	2	2	11	19	42	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IF Vestri	Grotta Seltjarnarnes
HK Kopavogur	2-6 L	2-1 W
Fylkir Reykjavik	2-5 L	2-5 L
Grindavik	0-0 D	1-2 L
Throttur Reykjavik	1-1 D	3-2 W
KF Aegir	3-2 W	6-1 W
Leiknir Reykjavik	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Grotta Seltjarnarnes (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

IF Vestri

LWWDDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	RFS UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-3	1-4	1	1	L
20/07	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	0-4	2-6	2	1	L
16/07	FK Qarabag UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-2	0-3	1	0	L
13/07	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-5	2-5	7	4	L
09/07	FK Qarabag UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-2	0-3	0	1	L
04/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
27/06	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
21/06	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/06	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	2-1	3-2	4	3	W
13/06	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	3	6	L

Grotta Seltjarnarnes

WWDLLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	6-1	7	0	W
14/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
10/07	Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
03/07	HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild	2-1	2-1	6	10	W
27/06	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	2-2	10	5	D
21/06	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-0	2-5	4	0	L
17/06	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
13/06	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland Cup	1-0	1-1	6	9	D
31/05	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	2-1	4	2	W
27/05	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-2	3-2	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IF Vestri vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IF Vestri win (41%). Probabilities: IF Vestri 41%, draw 23%, Grotta Seltjarnarnes 36%.

How many goals are expected in IF Vestri vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes?

The model expects 4.17 goals (IF Vestri 2.16 · Grotta Seltjarnarnes 2.01), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in IF Vestri vs Grotta Seltjarnarnes?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.