Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 14/07, 19:00
Prediction: HK Kopavogur vs IR Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
HK Kopavogur2.21
IR Reykjavik1.37
1X2
HK Kopavogur
Draw
IR Reykjavik
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
HK Kopavogur
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
IR Reykjavik
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HK Kopavogur
2–3–1
IR Reykjavik
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HK Kopavogur 1516 · IR Reykjavik 1448
| HK Kopavogur | Draw | IR Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 22% | 23% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HK Kopavogur (rating 1516 vs 1448).
- H2H favours HK Kopavogur: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HK Kopavogur | IR Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.5 | 2.8 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.6 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Kopavogur 2–3–1 IR Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild | IR Reykjavik | 3-1 HT 0-0 | HK Kopavogur |
| 11/07/25 Iceland 1 Deild | IR Reykjavik | 1-2 HT 0-1 | HK Kopavogur |
| 09/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild | HK Kopavogur | 1-1 HT 0-1 | IR Reykjavik |
| 06/03/25 Iceland League Cup | HK Kopavogur | 1-1 HT 0-0 | IR Reykjavik |
| 15/09/18 Iceland 1 Deild | HK Kopavogur | 3-0 HT 2-0 | IR Reykjavik |
| 05/07/18 Iceland 1 Deild | IR Reykjavik | 1-1 HT 0-0 | HK Kopavogur |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 24 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 22 |
| 5 | IF Vestri | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 6 | Njardvik | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 19 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 31 | 12 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 10 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 8 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HK Kopavogur | IR Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| KF Aegir | 4-3 W | 1-4 L |
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Afturelding | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Volsungur | 1-0 W | 4-4 D |
| Njardvik | 2-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: HK Kopavogur (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HK Kopavogur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
4-3 | 4-3 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/07 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 26/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 05/06 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 27/05 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
IR Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 03/07 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 21/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 18/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HK Kopavogur vs IR Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HK Kopavogur win (55%). Probabilities: HK Kopavogur 55%, draw 22%, IR Reykjavik 22%.
How many goals are expected in HK Kopavogur vs IR Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.58 goals (HK Kopavogur 2.21 · IR Reykjavik 1.37), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in HK Kopavogur vs IR Reykjavik?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.