Prediction: IR Reykjavik vs KF Aegir
Team pages: IR Reykjavik · KF Aegir
- KF Aegir4-1IR Reykjavik
- IR Reykjavik6-1KF Aegir
- KF Aegir2-2IR Reykjavik
- IR Reykjavik3-2KF Aegir
- IR Reykjavik1-0KF Aegir
| IR Reykjavik | Draw | KF Aegir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| Market | 61% | 20% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IR Reykjavik (rating 1460 vs 1387).
- H2H favours IR Reykjavik: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IR Reykjavik | KF Aegir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 1 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.7 | 1.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IR Reykjavik 3–1–1 KF Aegir
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild | KF Aegir | 4-1 HT 0-0 | IR Reykjavik |
| 24/02/23 Iceland League Cup B | IR Reykjavik | 6-1 HT 5-0 | KF Aegir |
| 10/09/22 Iceland 2 Deild | KF Aegir | 2-2 | IR Reykjavik |
| 04/07/22 Iceland 2 Deild | IR Reykjavik | 3-2 HT 1-1 | KF Aegir |
| 12/04/18 Iceland Cup | IR Reykjavik | 1-0 HT 0-0 | KF Aegir |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Throttur Reykjavik | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Afturelding | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 44 | 25 | 31 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 28 |
| 5 | Njardvik | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 26 |
| 6 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 25 |
| 7 | IF Vestri | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 34 | 21 |
| 8 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 19 |
| 9 | Grindavik | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 10 | IR Reykjavik | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 36 | 16 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 37 | 11 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 43 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IR Reykjavik | KF Aegir |
|---|---|---|
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 2-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Grindavik | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| HK Kopavogur | 1-5 L | 3-4 L |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Afturelding | 0-1 L | 1-8 L |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 2-1 W | 1-6 L |
| Njardvik | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| IF Vestri | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 0 W 1 D 8 L |
Better against common opponents: IR Reykjavik (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IR Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 03/07 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 21/06 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
KF Aegir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-4 | 1-6 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 29/06 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 1-8 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/06 | Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 21/06 | Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Breidablik Iceland Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IR Reykjavik vs KF Aegir?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IR Reykjavik win (61%). Probabilities: IR Reykjavik 61%, draw 20%, KF Aegir 19%.
How many goals are expected in IR Reykjavik vs KF Aegir?
The model expects 3.86 goals (IR Reykjavik 2.5 · KF Aegir 1.36), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IR Reykjavik vs KF Aegir?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.

