Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 13/08, 20:00
Prediction: Grindavik vs Throttur Reykjavik
Team pages: Grindavik · Throttur Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Grindavik1.01
Throttur Reykjavik1.75
1X2
Grindavik
Draw
Throttur Reykjavik
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Grindavik
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Throttur Reykjavik
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Grindavik
1–1–4
Throttur Reykjavik
(6 last)
- Throttur Reykjavik2-0Grindavik
- Grindavik1-2Throttur Reykjavik
- Throttur Reykjavik2-4Grindavik
- Throttur Reykjavik3-2Grindavik
- Grindavik2-2Throttur Reykjavik
- Throttur Reykjavik1-0Grindavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grindavik 1465 · Throttur Reykjavik 1579
| Grindavik | Draw | Throttur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 26% | 54% |
| Market | 21% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Throttur Reykjavik (rating 1465 vs 1579).
- H2H favours Throttur Reykjavik: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grindavik | Throttur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 3.6 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grindavik 1–1–4 Throttur Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/26 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Grindavik |
| 25/07/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Grindavik | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 18/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Grindavik |
| 08/02/25 Iceland League Cup | Throttur Reykjavik | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Grindavik |
| 29/08/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Grindavik | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Throttur Reykjavik |
| 30/06/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Throttur Reykjavik | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Grindavik |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 26 | 34 |
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fylkir Reykjavik | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 33 |
| 4 | Njardvik | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 5 | HK Kopavogur | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 28 |
| 6 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 29 | 26 |
| 7 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 22 |
| 8 | IF Vestri | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 21 |
| 9 | IR Reykjavik | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 38 | 19 |
| 10 | Grindavik | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 17 |
| 11 | Volsungur | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 14 |
| 12 | KF Aegir | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 21 | 46 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grindavik | Throttur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Afturelding | 1-4 L | 4-1 W |
| Leiknir Reykjavik | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Volsungur | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| IR Reykjavik | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Grotta Seltjarnarnes | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Njardvik | 4-5 L | 0-1 L |
| IF Vestri | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| KF Aegir | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| HK Kopavogur | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Fylkir Reykjavik | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 4 L | 6 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Throttur Reykjavik (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grindavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
0-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
3-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 21/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 17/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Throttur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/07 | Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Leiknir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
2-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 03/07 | Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 12/06 | HK Kopavogur Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grindavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Throttur Reykjavik win (54%). Probabilities: Grindavik 21%, draw 25%, Throttur Reykjavik 54%.
How many goals are expected in Grindavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Grindavik 1.01 · Throttur Reykjavik 1.75), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Grindavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.