Football · Iceland 1 Deild · 13/08, 21:15

Prediction: HK Kopavogur vs Leiknir Reykjavik

Team pages: HK Kopavogur · Leiknir Reykjavik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

HK Kopavogur2.47

Leiknir Reykjavik1.42

1X2

60% 20% 20%

HK Kopavogur Draw Leiknir Reykjavik

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

HK Kopavogur 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWWWLL

Leiknir Reykjavik 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLLLLW

Head-to-head

HK Kopavogur 3–1–2 Leiknir Reykjavik (6 last)

Leiknir Reykjavik4-1HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur1-0Leiknir Reykjavik
Leiknir Reykjavik0-1HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur0-4Leiknir Reykjavik
Leiknir Reykjavik0-0HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur2-1Leiknir Reykjavik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HK Kopavogur 1505 · Leiknir Reykjavik 1495

	HK Kopavogur	Draw	Leiknir Reykjavik
Our model	60%	20%	20%
Market	60%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours HK Kopavogur: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HK Kopavogur	Leiknir Reykjavik
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 1	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.1	3.4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.5	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 5.05 ★
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.72

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +9’	1.50	4.33	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:25 +1’	1.50	5.05	4.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Kopavogur 3–1–2 Leiknir Reykjavik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild	Leiknir Reykjavik	4-1 HT 3-0	HK Kopavogur
25/07/25 Iceland 1 Deild	HK Kopavogur	1-0 HT 1-0	Leiknir Reykjavik
16/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild	Leiknir Reykjavik	0-1 HT 0-0	HK Kopavogur
08/01/22 Iceland Pre-Season Cup	HK Kopavogur	0-4 HT 0-2	Leiknir Reykjavik
23/08/21 Iceland Premier League	Leiknir Reykjavik	0-0 HT 0-0	HK Kopavogur
30/05/21 Iceland Premier League	HK Kopavogur	2-1 HT 2-0	Leiknir Reykjavik

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Afturelding	16	11	1	4	48	26	34
2	Throttur Reykjavik	17	10	4	3	37	17	34
3	Fylkir Reykjavik	17	11	0	6	35	26	33
4	Njardvik	17	9	2	6	27	22	29
5	HK Kopavogur	17	9	1	7	40	32	28
6	Grotta Seltjarnarnes	16	8	2	6	33	29	26
7	Leiknir Reykjavik	17	6	4	7	23	25	22
8	IF Vestri	17	6	3	8	27	37	21
9	IR Reykjavik	17	5	4	8	30	38	19
10	Grindavik	17	3	8	6	17	24	17
11	Volsungur	17	3	5	9	23	39	14
12	KF Aegir	17	2	2	13	21	46	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HK Kopavogur	Leiknir Reykjavik
Volsungur	2-3 L	3-3 D
Njardvik	2-3 L	0-1 L
IF Vestri	6-2 W	1-0 W
IR Reykjavik	5-1 W	2-1 W
KF Aegir	4-3 W	3-0 W
Grotta Seltjarnarnes	1-2 L	0-1 L
Fylkir Reykjavik	2-0 W	3-0 W
Grindavik	2-2 D	0-1 L
Throttur Reykjavik	0-2 L	1-5 L
Afturelding	2-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: HK Kopavogur (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HK Kopavogur

WLDWLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
24/07	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-3	4	3	L
20/07	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	6-2	9	1	W
14/07	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	4-0	5-1	6	2	W
10/07	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	4-3	4-3	5	3	W
03/07	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	1-2	1-2	4	10	L
26/06	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
21/06	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	2-1	2-2	9	6	D
12/06	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-2	8	7	L
05/06	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	2-1	8	5	W

Leiknir Reykjavik

WWLWDLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Fylkir Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
29/07	Grindavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
23/07	Throttur Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-2	1-5	7	5	L
16/07	Afturelding Iceland 1 Deild	1-2	2-3	4	3	L
10/07	Grotta Seltjarnarnes Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	0-1	11	2	L
04/07	Volsungur Iceland 1 Deild	1-1	3-3	2	7	D
26/06	IR Reykjavik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	2-1	16	9	W
19/06	Njardvik Iceland 1 Deild	0-1	0-1	8	1	L
13/06	IF Vestri Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
05/06	KF Aegir Iceland 1 Deild	0-0	3-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HK Kopavogur vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HK Kopavogur win (60%). Probabilities: HK Kopavogur 60%, draw 20%, Leiknir Reykjavik 20%.

How many goals are expected in HK Kopavogur vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

The model expects 3.89 goals (HK Kopavogur 2.47 · Leiknir Reykjavik 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in HK Kopavogur vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.