Prediction: Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Bulleen Lions (W)
Expected goals: 3.85 (Bentleigh Greens (W) 0.93 · Bulleen Lions (W) 2.92). The model gives 7% home, 12% draw, 82% away. Under 4 goals (54%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-2.
On recent form, Bentleigh Greens (W) is 1-1-8 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Bulleen Lions (W) 7-2-1 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Bentleigh Greens (W) won 0 and Bulleen Lions (W) 5.
| Bentleigh Greens (W) | Draw | Bulleen Lions (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 5% | 9% | 85% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bulleen Lions (W) (rating 1399 vs 1590).
- H2H favours Bulleen Lions (W): 5-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bentleigh Greens (W) | Bulleen Lions (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 3.1 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.2 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bentleigh Greens (W) 0–0–5 Bulleen Lions (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bulleen Lions (W) | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Bentleigh Greens (W) |
| 26/07/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bulleen Lions (W) | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Bentleigh Greens (W) |
| 02/05/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bentleigh Greens (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bulleen Lions (W) |
| 27/07/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bentleigh Greens (W) | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Bulleen Lions (W) |
| 11/05/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bulleen Lions (W) | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Bentleigh Greens (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Essendon Royals (W) | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 38 |
| 2 | Bulleen Lions (W) | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 47 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Box Hill (W) | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 22 | 38 |
| 4 | South Melbourne (W) | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 18 | 35 |
| 5 | Avondale FC (W) | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 41 | 20 | 32 |
| 6 | Boroondara Eagles (W) | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 31 |
| 7 | Alamein FC (W) | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 29 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 31 | 26 |
| 9 | Spring Hills FC (W) | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 23 |
| 10 | Heidelberg United (W) | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 36 | 22 |
| 11 | Keilor Park (W) | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 19 |
| 12 | Preston Lions (W) | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 16 |
| 13 | Melbourne City NPL (W) | 18 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 72 | 7 |
| 14 | Bentleigh Greens (W) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 69 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bentleigh Greens (W) | Bulleen Lions (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Alamein FC (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Spring Hills FC (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Boroondara Eagles (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Box Hill (W) | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 0-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Essendon Royals (W) | 0-7 L | 2-1 W |
| Melbourne City NPL (W) | 1-5 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 6 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Bulleen Lions (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bentleigh Greens (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/05 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
Bulleen Lions (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Box Hill (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/06 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Bulleen Lions (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bulleen Lions (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Bentleigh Greens (W) 7%, draw 12%, Bulleen Lions (W) 82%.
How many goals are expected in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Bulleen Lions (W)?
The model expects 3.85 goals (Bentleigh Greens (W) 0.93 · Bulleen Lions (W) 2.92), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Bentleigh Greens (W) vs Bulleen Lions (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.