Prediction: Alamein FC (W) vs Preston Lions (W)
Expected goals: 2.9 (Alamein FC (W) 1.66 · Preston Lions (W) 1.23). The model gives 47% home, 26% draw, 28% away. Under 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Alamein FC (W) is 5-1-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Preston Lions (W) 2-3-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Alamein FC (W) and 2 for Preston Lions (W), with 1 draw.
| Alamein FC (W) | Draw | Preston Lions (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alamein FC (W) (rating 1525 vs 1444).
- H2H favours Alamein FC (W): 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alamein FC (W) | Preston Lions (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alamein FC (W) 3–1–2 Preston Lions (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Preston Lions (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Alamein FC (W) |
| 20/06/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Preston Lions (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Alamein FC (W) |
| 22/03/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Alamein FC (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Preston Lions (W) |
| 26/07/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Preston Lions (W) | 7-1 HT 4-0 | Alamein FC (W) |
| 11/05/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Alamein FC (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Preston Lions (W) |
| 02/06/23 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Preston Lions (W) | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Alamein FC (W) |
Standings · Australia NPL Victoria Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Essendon Royals (W) | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 38 |
| 2 | Bulleen Lions (W) | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 47 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Box Hill (W) | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 22 | 38 |
| 4 | South Melbourne (W) | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 18 | 35 |
| 5 | Avondale FC (W) | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 41 | 20 | 32 |
| 6 | Boroondara Eagles (W) | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 31 |
| 7 | Alamein FC (W) | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 29 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 31 | 26 |
| 9 | Spring Hills FC (W) | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 23 |
| 10 | Heidelberg United (W) | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 36 | 22 |
| 11 | Keilor Park (W) | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 19 |
| 12 | Preston Lions (W) | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 16 |
| 13 | Melbourne City NPL (W) | 18 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 72 | 7 |
| 14 | Bentleigh Greens (W) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 69 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alamein FC (W) | Preston Lions (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Bentleigh Greens (W) | 1-1 D | 5-3 W |
| Essendon Royals (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Keilor Park (W) | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Avondale FC (W) | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Bulleen Lions (W) | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Spring Hills FC (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Alamein FC (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alamein FC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Bundoora Utd (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
Preston Lions (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 5-3 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 10/04 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alamein FC (W) vs Preston Lions (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alamein FC (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Alamein FC (W) 47%, draw 26%, Preston Lions (W) 28%.
How many goals are expected in Alamein FC (W) vs Preston Lions (W)?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Alamein FC (W) 1.66 · Preston Lions (W) 1.23), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Alamein FC (W) vs Preston Lions (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.