Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 01/08, 20:00

Prediction: Fluminense RJ (W) vs Bragantino (W)

Team pages: Fluminense RJ (W) · Bragantino (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Fluminense RJ (W)1.26

Bragantino (W)1.29

1X2

35% 29% 36%

Fluminense RJ (W) Draw Bragantino (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fluminense RJ (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLDWWL

Bragantino (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWDWWD

Head-to-head

Fluminense RJ (W) 0–3–3 Bragantino (W) (6 last)

Bragantino (W)2-2Fluminense RJ (W)
Fluminense RJ (W)0-0Bragantino (W)
Bragantino (W)1-0Fluminense RJ (W)
Fluminense RJ (W)0-3Bragantino (W)
Fluminense RJ (W)1-1Bragantino (W)
Fluminense RJ (W)0-2Bragantino (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fluminense RJ (W) 1497 · Bragantino (W) 1547

	Fluminense RJ (W)	Draw	Bragantino (W)
Our model	35%	29%	36%
Market	35%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bragantino (W) (rating 1497 vs 1547).
H2H favours Bragantino (W): 3-3-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fluminense RJ (W)	Bragantino (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.4	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.10

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:51 +33’	2.55	3.10	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fluminense RJ (W) 0–3–3 Bragantino (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/05/25 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Bragantino (W)	2-2 HT 1-2	Fluminense RJ (W)
17/08/24 Brazil Serie A1 Women	Fluminense RJ (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Bragantino (W)
11/07/23 Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro A2 Women	Bragantino (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Fluminense RJ (W)
02/07/23 Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro A2 Women	Fluminense RJ (W)	0-3 HT 0-3	Bragantino (W)
21/05/23 Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro A2 Women	Fluminense RJ (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Bragantino (W)
30/05/21 Brazil Campeonato Brasileiro A2 Women	Fluminense RJ (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Bragantino (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Corinthians (W)	13	10	1	2	35	13	31
2	Sao Paulo (W)	13	9	2	2	21	9	29
3	Palmeiras (W)	13	8	4	1	27	10	28
4	Bahia (W)	13	7	3	3	24	17	24
5	Internacional (W)	13	7	2	4	14	10	23
6	Ferroviaria (W)	13	6	5	2	19	12	23
7	Flamengo (W)	13	6	5	2	21	15	23
8	Cruzeiro (W)	13	5	6	2	24	16	21
9	Bragantino (W)	13	6	2	5	21	20	20
10	Gremio (W)	13	5	3	5	19	14	18
11	Santos (W)	13	4	5	4	13	15	17
12	Fluminense RJ (W)	13	4	4	5	14	15	16
13	Atletico Mineiro (W)	13	3	3	7	14	18	12
14	EC Juventude (W)	13	2	4	7	7	12	10
15	Mixto EC (W)	13	1	5	7	8	24	8
16	America MG (W)	13	1	3	9	6	26	6
17	EC Vitoria (W)	13	1	3	9	9	32	6
18	Botafogo (W)	13	1	2	10	8	26	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fluminense RJ (W)	Bragantino (W)
Santos (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
Atletico Mineiro (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Palmeiras (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bragantino (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fluminense RJ (W)

WLWDLLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Internacional (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
21/07	Cruzeiro (W) Copa do Brazil Women	0-0	2-1	3	3	W
28/05	Minas Brasilia DF (W) Copa do Brazil Women	1-0	2-0	8	8	W
23/05	Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	3-3	5	4	D
16/05	Flamengo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
09/05	Santos (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
01/05	Atletico Mineiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-1	1-1	9	7	D
26/04	Mixto EC (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
21/04	Palmeiras (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
01/04	EC Juventude (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-0	11	5	W

Bragantino (W)

LLWWLWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Santos (W) Brazil Paulista Women	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
25/07	Atletico Mineiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	2-0	2-0	1	6	W
23/07	Botafogo (W) Copa do Brazil Women	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
17/07	Mirassol (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
27/05	Sao Jose SP (W) Copa do Brazil Women	1-0	4-1	7	1	W
24/05	Palmeiras (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
22/05	Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
17/05	Santos (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
14/05	Corinthians (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-3	0-6	8	1	L
10/05	Gremio (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women	0-1	0-3	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fluminense RJ (W) vs Bragantino (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bragantino (W) win (36%). Probabilities: Fluminense RJ (W) 35%, draw 29%, Bragantino (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Fluminense RJ (W) vs Bragantino (W)?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Fluminense RJ (W) 1.26 · Bragantino (W) 1.29), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fluminense RJ (W) vs Bragantino (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.