Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 02/08, 08:50

Prediction: APIA Leichardt (W) vs Bulls FC Academy (W)

Team pages: APIA Leichardt (W) · Bulls FC Academy (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

APIA Leichardt (W)1.84

Bulls FC Academy (W)1.84

1X2

38% 24% 38%

APIA Leichardt (W) Draw Bulls FC Academy (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

APIA Leichardt (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Bulls FC Academy (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

APIA Leichardt (W) 1–3–2 Bulls FC Academy (W) (6 last)

Bulls FC Academy (W)3-2APIA Leichardt (W)
Bulls FC Academy (W)2-2APIA Leichardt (W)
APIA Leichardt (W)1-2Bulls FC Academy (W)
Bulls FC Academy (W)1-1APIA Leichardt (W)
APIA Leichardt (W)3-2Bulls FC Academy (W)
Bulls FC Academy (W)3-3APIA Leichardt (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · APIA Leichardt (W) 1534 · Bulls FC Academy (W) 1614

	APIA Leichardt (W)	Draw	Bulls FC Academy (W)
Our model	38%	23%	38%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bulls FC Academy (W) (rating 1534 vs 1614).
H2H favours Bulls FC Academy (W): 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	APIA Leichardt (W)	Bulls FC Academy (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.5	2.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.2	3.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.1	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.75

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
08:13 +9’	2.35	3.75	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · APIA Leichardt (W) 1–3–2 Bulls FC Academy (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Bulls FC Academy (W)	3-2 HT 1-1	APIA Leichardt (W)
13/09/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Bulls FC Academy (W)	2-2 HT 0-2	APIA Leichardt (W)
31/08/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Bulls FC Academy (W)
01/06/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Bulls FC Academy (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	APIA Leichardt (W)
23/06/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	3-2 HT 0-1	Bulls FC Academy (W)
24/03/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Bulls FC Academy (W)	3-3 HT 3-2	APIA Leichardt (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	21	15	5	1	58	21	50
2	University NSW (W)	21	13	7	1	42	16	46
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	21	14	2	5	53	27	44
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	21	12	4	5	39	27	40
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	21	9	4	8	36	29	31
6	Sydney University (W)	21	8	6	7	45	39	30
7	Manly Utd (W)	21	7	8	6	33	27	29
8	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	21	8	3	10	37	36	27
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	21	7	4	10	29	38	25
10	Gladesville Ravens (W)	21	6	5	10	29	36	23
11	Hills United FC (W)	21	6	2	13	23	31	20
12	NWS Spirit (W)	21	6	2	13	28	71	20
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	21	3	6	12	18	39	15
14	Western City Rangers (W)	21	3	2	16	25	58	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	APIA Leichardt (W)	Bulls FC Academy (W)
University NSW (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Sydney Olympic FC (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
Western City Rangers (W)	5-1 W	4-0 W
NWS Spirit (W)	2-1 W	4-4 D
Macarthur Rams (W)	2-1 W	5-0 W
Hills United FC (W)	4-1 W	2-1 W
Northern Tigers FC (W)	1-4 L	2-0 W
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	2-3 L	5-3 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	7 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bulls FC Academy (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

APIA Leichardt (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
19/07	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
11/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-1	5-1	5	4	W
05/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
28/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-1	5	0	W
21/06	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
14/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	4-1	6	4	W
07/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	3-0	7	2	W
31/05	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-4	7	2	L
24/05	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-3	2	0	L

Bulls FC Academy (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
19/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-1	5-3	2	2	W
12/07	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-1	4-1	7	3	W
05/07	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
28/06	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
21/06	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	4-4	7	3	D
14/06	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-0	5-0	5	1	W
07/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
31/05	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	4-0	3	2	W
23/05	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	2-0	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in APIA Leichardt (W) vs Bulls FC Academy (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a APIA Leichardt (W) win (38%). Probabilities: APIA Leichardt (W) 38%, draw 24%, Bulls FC Academy (W) 38%.

How many goals are expected in APIA Leichardt (W) vs Bulls FC Academy (W)?

The model expects 3.69 goals (APIA Leichardt (W) 1.84 · Bulls FC Academy (W) 1.84), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in APIA Leichardt (W) vs Bulls FC Academy (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.