Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 09/08, 09:40

Prediction: Sydney Olympic FC (W) vs Northern Tigers FC (W)

Team pages: Sydney Olympic FC (W) · Northern Tigers FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Sydney Olympic FC (W)1.42

Northern Tigers FC (W)1.34

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Sydney Olympic FC (W) Draw Northern Tigers FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sydney Olympic FC (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLDWWW

Northern Tigers FC (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDWWDD

Head-to-head

Sydney Olympic FC (W) 4–1–1 Northern Tigers FC (W) (6 last)

Northern Tigers FC (W)3-1Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Northern Tigers FC (W)1-2Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Sydney Olympic FC (W)1-1Northern Tigers FC (W)
Northern Tigers FC (W)2-4Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Sydney Olympic FC (W)4-2Northern Tigers FC (W)
Northern Tigers FC (W)0-3Sydney Olympic FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sydney Olympic FC (W) 1507 · Northern Tigers FC (W) 1541

	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	Draw	Northern Tigers FC (W)
Our model	38%	28%	34%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sydney Olympic FC (W): 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	Northern Tigers FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	1.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.70

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.25▲	Bet365 2.25
X	3.75 → 3.70▼	Pinn 3.72
2	2.90 → 2.50▼	Pinn 2.87 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:23 +2’	2.00	3.75	2.90
09:29 +4’	2.05▲	3.75	2.80▼
13:52 +3’	2.25▲	3.70▼	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +1’	2.05	3.72	2.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney Olympic FC (W) 4–1–1 Northern Tigers FC (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Northern Tigers FC (W)	3-1 HT 3-0	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
21/06/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Northern Tigers FC (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
23/03/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Northern Tigers FC (W)
09/06/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Northern Tigers FC (W)	2-4 HT 2-3	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
10/03/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	4-2 HT 3-2	Northern Tigers FC (W)
02/07/23 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Northern Tigers FC (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Sydney Olympic FC (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	22	15	6	1	60	23	51
2	University NSW (W)	22	13	8	1	44	18	47
3	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	23	14	4	5	50	28	46
4	APIA Leichardt (W)	22	14	3	5	55	29	45
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	22	9	5	8	37	30	32
6	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	22	9	3	10	38	36	30
7	Manly Utd (W)	22	7	9	6	35	29	30
8	Sydney University (W)	22	8	6	8	46	41	30
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	22	8	4	10	34	38	28
10	NWS Spirit (W)	23	7	2	14	30	74	23
11	Gladesville Ravens (W)	22	6	5	11	29	41	23
12	Hills United FC (W)	22	6	3	13	24	32	21
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	22	3	6	13	18	40	15
14	Western City Rangers (W)	22	3	2	17	26	67	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	Northern Tigers FC (W)
Illawarra Stingrays (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
APIA Leichardt (W)	2-1 W	4-1 W
University NSW (W)	0-0 D	0-0 D
Hills United FC (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Sydney University (W)	3-2 W	2-2 D
Manly Utd (W)	2-2 D	1-1 D
NWS Spirit (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Northern Tigers FC (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sydney Olympic FC (W)

LLDWLLDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
26/07	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	3-0	2	1	W
19/07	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
11/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
05/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
28/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
21/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
14/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-2	8	0	D
07/06	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
31/05	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-2	2	1	L

Northern Tigers FC (W)

WLWDLDWWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
26/07	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	2-2	2	0	D
18/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	3-1	2	9	W
12/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
04/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
27/06	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
20/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
14/06	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	3-0	3	2	W
07/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
31/05	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	4-1	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney Olympic FC (W) vs Northern Tigers FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sydney Olympic FC (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Sydney Olympic FC (W) 39%, draw 26%, Northern Tigers FC (W) 35%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney Olympic FC (W) vs Northern Tigers FC (W)?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Sydney Olympic FC (W) 1.42 · Northern Tigers FC (W) 1.34), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney Olympic FC (W) vs Northern Tigers FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.