Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 09/08, 06:40

Prediction: Bulls FC Academy (W) vs Sydney University (W)

Team pages: Bulls FC Academy (W) · Sydney University (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.01Total

Bulls FC Academy (W)2.7

Sydney University (W)1.32

1X2

66% 18% 16%

Bulls FC Academy (W) Draw Sydney University (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bulls FC Academy (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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Sydney University (W) 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bulls FC Academy (W) 3–1–2 Sydney University (W) (6 last)

Sydney University (W)0-6Bulls FC Academy (W)
Sydney University (W)2-1Bulls FC Academy (W)
Bulls FC Academy (W)1-0Sydney University (W)
Bulls FC Academy (W)0-1Sydney University (W)
Sydney University (W)1-1Bulls FC Academy (W)
Bulls FC Academy (W)1-0Sydney University (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bulls FC Academy (W) 1602 · Sydney University (W) 1432

	Bulls FC Academy (W)	Draw	Sydney University (W)
Our model	66%	18%	16%
Market	66%	17%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bulls FC Academy (W) (rating 1602 vs 1432).
H2H favours Bulls FC Academy (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bulls FC Academy (W)	Sydney University (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.5	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.7	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	1.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.36

X5.25

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.36▲	Bet365 1.36
X	5.50 → 5.25▼	Bet365 5.25
2	6.50 → 5.50▼	Pinn 6.76 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:24 +3’	1.28	5.50	6.50
09:29 +2’	1.36▲	5.25▼	5.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:29 +1’	1.31	5.26	6.66
13:48 +3’	1.30▼	5.23▼	6.76▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bulls FC Academy (W) 3–1–2 Sydney University (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney University (W)	0-6 HT 0-1	Bulls FC Academy (W)
06/07/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney University (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Bulls FC Academy (W)
06/04/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Bulls FC Academy (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Sydney University (W)
11/08/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Bulls FC Academy (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Sydney University (W)
29/05/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney University (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Bulls FC Academy (W)
25/06/23 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Bulls FC Academy (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Sydney University (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	22	15	6	1	60	23	51
2	University NSW (W)	22	13	8	1	44	18	47
3	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	23	14	4	5	50	28	46
4	APIA Leichardt (W)	22	14	3	5	55	29	45
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	22	9	5	8	37	30	32
6	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	22	9	3	10	38	36	30
7	Manly Utd (W)	22	7	9	6	35	29	30
8	Sydney University (W)	22	8	6	8	46	41	30
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	22	8	4	10	34	38	28
10	NWS Spirit (W)	23	7	2	14	30	74	23
11	Gladesville Ravens (W)	22	6	5	11	29	41	23
12	Hills United FC (W)	22	6	3	13	24	32	21
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	22	3	6	13	18	40	15
14	Western City Rangers (W)	22	3	2	17	26	67	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bulls FC Academy (W)	Sydney University (W)
APIA Leichardt (W)	2-2 D	0-3 L
Gladesville Ravens (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Illawarra Stingrays (W)	4-1 W	0-0 D
Sydney Olympic FC (W)	1-0 W	2-3 L
NWS Spirit (W)	4-4 D	1-2 L
Macarthur Rams (W)	5-0 W	2-2 D
Hills United FC (W)	2-1 W	0-3 L
Western City Rangers (W)	4-0 W	5-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Bulls FC Academy (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bulls FC Academy (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	2-2	3	2	D
26/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
19/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-1	5-3	2	2	W
12/07	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-1	4-1	7	3	W
05/07	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
28/06	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
21/06	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	4-4	7	3	D
14/06	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-0	5-0	5	1	W
07/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	2-1	7	3	W
31/05	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	4-0	3	2	W

Sydney University (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	1-2	8	2	L
26/07	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	2-2	2	0	D
19/07	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	2-2	6	1	D
12/07	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
05/07	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
28/06	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	5-2	4	0	W
21/06	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	2-3	5	4	L
14/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
07/06	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-3	1	2	L
31/05	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bulls FC Academy (W) vs Sydney University (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bulls FC Academy (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Bulls FC Academy (W) 66%, draw 18%, Sydney University (W) 16%.

How many goals are expected in Bulls FC Academy (W) vs Sydney University (W)?

The model expects 4.01 goals (Bulls FC Academy (W) 2.7 · Sydney University (W) 1.32), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bulls FC Academy (W) vs Sydney University (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.