Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 09/08, 09:00

Prediction: Manly Utd (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Team pages: Manly Utd (W) · Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Manly Utd (W)1.85

Illawarra Stingrays (W)0.83

1X2

61% 24% 15%

Manly Utd (W) Draw Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Manly Utd (W) 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Manly Utd (W) 2–1–3 Illawarra Stingrays (W) (6 last)

Illawarra Stingrays (W)0-1Manly Utd (W)
Manly Utd (W)2-0Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Illawarra Stingrays (W)3-0Manly Utd (W)
Illawarra Stingrays (W)4-1Manly Utd (W)
Manly Utd (W)1-2Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Manly Utd (W)0-0Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manly Utd (W) (rating 1506 vs 1407).
H2H favours Illawarra Stingrays (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Manly Utd (W)	Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	0.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.3	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.81

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.51 → 1.53▲	Pinn 1.53
X	4.75 → 4.70▼	Pinn 4.70
2	4.25 → 4.17▼	Pinn 4.17

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:50 +5’	1.51	4.75	4.25
00:12	1.53▲	4.70▼	4.17▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Manly Utd (W) 2–1–3 Illawarra Stingrays (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Manly Utd (W)
17/08/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Manly Utd (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Illawarra Stingrays (W)
18/05/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Manly Utd (W)
10/06/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	4-1 HT 1-1	Manly Utd (W)
10/03/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Manly Utd (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Illawarra Stingrays (W)
18/06/23 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Manly Utd (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	22	15	6	1	60	23	51
2	University NSW (W)	22	13	8	1	44	18	47
3	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	23	14	4	5	50	28	46
4	APIA Leichardt (W)	22	14	3	5	55	29	45
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	22	9	5	8	37	30	32
6	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	22	9	3	10	38	36	30
7	Manly Utd (W)	22	7	9	6	35	29	30
8	Sydney University (W)	22	8	6	8	46	41	30
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	22	8	4	10	34	38	28
10	NWS Spirit (W)	23	7	2	14	30	74	23
11	Gladesville Ravens (W)	22	6	5	11	29	41	23
12	Hills United FC (W)	22	6	3	13	24	32	21
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	22	3	6	13	18	40	15
14	Western City Rangers (W)	22	3	2	17	26	67	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manly Utd (W)	Illawarra Stingrays (W)
University NSW (W)	2-2 D	1-3 L
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	1-2 L	0-1 L
Gladesville Ravens (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
Western City Rangers (W)	1-1 D	1-6 L
Northern Tigers FC (W)	1-1 D	0-3 L
Sydney Olympic FC (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Macarthur Rams (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 5 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Manly Utd (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Manly Utd (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-2	3	0	D
26/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
19/07	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
15/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
12/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
05/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
28/06	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-2	3	0	L
20/06	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
14/06	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-2	3	0	D
07/06	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	2	0	D

Illawarra Stingrays (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
26/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-3	1-6	4	2	L
19/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
12/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-3	1-4	1	3	L
05/07	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
28/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
21/06	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	1-3	5	0	L
14/06	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
07/06	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	0	1	L
31/05	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manly Utd (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Manly Utd (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Manly Utd (W) 61%, draw 24%, Illawarra Stingrays (W) 15%.

How many goals are expected in Manly Utd (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Manly Utd (W) 1.85 · Illawarra Stingrays (W) 0.83), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Manly Utd (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.