Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 09/08, 08:50

Prediction: APIA Leichardt (W) vs Gladesville Ravens (W)

Team pages: APIA Leichardt (W) · Gladesville Ravens (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

APIA Leichardt (W)2.42

Gladesville Ravens (W)1.08

1X2

67% 18% 15%

APIA Leichardt (W) Draw Gladesville Ravens (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

APIA Leichardt (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWLDD

Gladesville Ravens (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLDLDDL

Head-to-head

APIA Leichardt (W) 2–2–2 Gladesville Ravens (W) (6 last)

Gladesville Ravens (W)3-2APIA Leichardt (W)
Gladesville Ravens (W)3-3APIA Leichardt (W)
APIA Leichardt (W)2-1Gladesville Ravens (W)
APIA Leichardt (W)2-2Gladesville Ravens (W)
Gladesville Ravens (W)3-2APIA Leichardt (W)
APIA Leichardt (W)3-1Gladesville Ravens (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · APIA Leichardt (W) 1547 · Gladesville Ravens (W) 1473

	APIA Leichardt (W)	Draw	Gladesville Ravens (W)
Our model	66%	19%	14%
Market	67%	17%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours APIA Leichardt (W) (rating 1547 vs 1473).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	APIA Leichardt (W)	Gladesville Ravens (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.5	1 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	1.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.25

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 09:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.33▲	Bet365 1.33
X	5.50 → 5.25▼	Pinn 5.65
2	6.50 → 5.75▼	Pinn 7.70 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:16 +11’	1.28	5.50	6.50
05:52 +9’	1.33▲	5.50	5.75▼
09:30 +2’	1.33	5.25▼	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:29 +3’	1.24	5.65	7.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · APIA Leichardt (W) 2–2–2 Gladesville Ravens (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Gladesville Ravens (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	APIA Leichardt (W)
15/06/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Gladesville Ravens (W)	3-3 HT 1-1	APIA Leichardt (W)
16/03/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Gladesville Ravens (W)
09/06/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	2-2 HT 2-2	Gladesville Ravens (W)
10/03/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Gladesville Ravens (W)	3-2 HT 1-2	APIA Leichardt (W)
20/08/23 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	3-1 HT 2-1	Gladesville Ravens (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	22	15	6	1	60	23	51
2	University NSW (W)	22	13	8	1	44	18	47
3	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	23	14	4	5	50	28	46
4	APIA Leichardt (W)	22	14	3	5	55	29	45
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	22	9	5	8	37	30	32
6	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	22	9	3	10	38	36	30
7	Manly Utd (W)	22	7	9	6	35	29	30
8	Sydney University (W)	22	8	6	8	46	41	30
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	22	8	4	10	34	38	28
10	NWS Spirit (W)	23	7	2	14	30	74	23
11	Gladesville Ravens (W)	22	6	5	11	29	41	23
12	Hills United FC (W)	22	6	3	13	24	32	21
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	22	3	6	13	18	40	15
14	Western City Rangers (W)	22	3	2	17	26	67	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	APIA Leichardt (W)	Gladesville Ravens (W)
Bulls FC Academy (W)	2-2 D	1-1 D
University NSW (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Western City Rangers (W)	5-1 W	6-0 W
NWS Spirit (W)	2-1 W	1-3 L
Manly Utd (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Macarthur Rams (W)	2-1 W	0-5 L
Sydney University (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Northern Tigers FC (W)	1-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: APIA Leichardt (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

APIA Leichardt (W)

LWWWWWWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	2-2	5	2	D
25/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
19/07	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
11/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-1	5-1	5	4	W
05/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
28/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-1	5	0	W
21/06	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
14/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	4-1	6	4	W
07/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	3-0	7	2	W
31/05	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-4	7	2	L

Gladesville Ravens (W)

LWDWLDLDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-5	0-5	1	4	L
26/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
19/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
12/07	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	5	0	L
05/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
28/06	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
21/06	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	4-0	6-0	3	3	W
14/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
07/06	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
30/05	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	1-3	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in APIA Leichardt (W) vs Gladesville Ravens (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a APIA Leichardt (W) win (67%). Probabilities: APIA Leichardt (W) 67%, draw 18%, Gladesville Ravens (W) 15%.

How many goals are expected in APIA Leichardt (W) vs Gladesville Ravens (W)?

The model expects 3.5 goals (APIA Leichardt (W) 2.42 · Gladesville Ravens (W) 1.08), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in APIA Leichardt (W) vs Gladesville Ravens (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.