Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 02/08, 09:00

Prediction: University NSW (W) vs Manly Utd (W)

Team pages: University NSW (W) · Manly Utd (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

University NSW (W)1.65

Manly Utd (W)0.87

1X2

56% 24% 20%

University NSW (W) Draw Manly Utd (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

University NSW (W) 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDDWDD

Manly Utd (W) 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDDLDWLWL

Head-to-head

University NSW (W) 4–1–1 Manly Utd (W) (6 last)

University NSW (W)1-0Manly Utd (W)
Manly Utd (W)1-2University NSW (W)
University NSW (W)3-2Manly Utd (W)
Manly Utd (W)0-2University NSW (W)
Manly Utd (W)1-1University NSW (W)
University NSW (W)1-2Manly Utd (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · University NSW (W) 1567 · Manly Utd (W) 1489

	University NSW (W)	Draw	Manly Utd (W)
Our model	55%	27%	18%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours University NSW (W) (rating 1567 vs 1489).
H2H favours University NSW (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	University NSW (W)	Manly Utd (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.2	1.7 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:13 +9’	1.57	4.00	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · University NSW (W) 4–1–1 Manly Utd (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/07/26 Australia New South Wales Cup Women	University NSW (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Manly Utd (W)
03/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Manly Utd (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	University NSW (W)
24/08/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	University NSW (W)	3-2 HT 2-0	Manly Utd (W)
25/05/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Manly Utd (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	University NSW (W)
14/07/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Manly Utd (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	University NSW (W)
14/04/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	University NSW (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	Manly Utd (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	21	15	5	1	58	21	50
2	University NSW (W)	21	13	7	1	42	16	46
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	21	14	2	5	53	27	44
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	21	12	4	5	39	27	40
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	21	9	4	8	36	29	31
6	Sydney University (W)	21	8	6	7	45	39	30
7	Manly Utd (W)	21	7	8	6	33	27	29
8	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	21	8	3	10	37	36	27
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	21	7	4	10	29	38	25
10	Gladesville Ravens (W)	21	6	5	10	29	36	23
11	Hills United FC (W)	21	6	2	13	23	31	20
12	NWS Spirit (W)	21	6	2	13	28	71	20
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	21	3	6	12	18	39	15
14	Western City Rangers (W)	21	3	2	16	25	58	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	University NSW (W)	Manly Utd (W)
APIA Leichardt (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Gladesville Ravens (W)	2-2 D	1-0 W
Sydney Olympic FC (W)	0-0 D	2-2 D
Northern Tigers FC (W)	0-0 D	1-1 D
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Western City Rangers (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Hills United FC (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: University NSW (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

University NSW (W)

WWWWLDDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
19/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-2	6	0	D
15/07	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
11/07	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
04/07	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
28/06	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
21/06	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	3-1	7	0	W
14/06	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	11	1	W
06/06	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
31/05	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	2-0	3	0	W

Manly Utd (W)

DDDDLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
19/07	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
15/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
12/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
05/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
28/06	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-2	3	0	L
20/06	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
14/06	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-2	3	0	D
07/06	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	2	0	D
31/05	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in University NSW (W) vs Manly Utd (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a University NSW (W) win (56%). Probabilities: University NSW (W) 56%, draw 24%, Manly Utd (W) 20%.

How many goals are expected in University NSW (W) vs Manly Utd (W)?

The model expects 2.52 goals (University NSW (W) 1.65 · Manly Utd (W) 0.87), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in University NSW (W) vs Manly Utd (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.