Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 02/08, 07:00

Prediction: Illawarra Stingrays (W) vs Sydney Olympic FC (W)

Team pages: Illawarra Stingrays (W) · Sydney Olympic FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Illawarra Stingrays (W)1.23

Sydney Olympic FC (W)1.77

1X2

26% 24% 50%

Illawarra Stingrays (W) Draw Sydney Olympic FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWDLDL

Sydney Olympic FC (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLLDWW

Head-to-head

Illawarra Stingrays (W) 3–2–1 Sydney Olympic FC (W) (6 last)

Sydney Olympic FC (W)2-2Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Sydney Olympic FC (W)2-3Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Illawarra Stingrays (W)1-0Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Sydney Olympic FC (W)1-1Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Illawarra Stingrays (W)0-1Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Illawarra Stingrays (W)3-1Sydney Olympic FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1428 · Sydney Olympic FC (W) 1516

	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	Draw	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Our model	26%	26%	49%
Market	26%	24%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney Olympic FC (W) (rating 1428 vs 1516).
H2H favours Illawarra Stingrays (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.3	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	1.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.80

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:20 +2’	3.40	3.80	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Illawarra Stingrays (W) 3–2–1 Sydney Olympic FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	2-2 HT 0-0	Illawarra Stingrays (W)
10/07/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	2-3 HT 1-2	Illawarra Stingrays (W)
06/04/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
25/08/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Illawarra Stingrays (W)
26/05/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
03/09/23 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Sydney Olympic FC (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	21	15	5	1	58	21	50
2	University NSW (W)	21	13	7	1	42	16	46
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	21	14	2	5	53	27	44
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	21	12	4	5	39	27	40
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	21	9	4	8	36	29	31
6	Sydney University (W)	21	8	6	7	45	39	30
7	Manly Utd (W)	21	7	8	6	33	27	29
8	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	21	8	3	10	37	36	27
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	21	7	4	10	29	38	25
10	Gladesville Ravens (W)	21	6	5	10	29	36	23
11	Hills United FC (W)	21	6	2	13	23	31	20
12	NWS Spirit (W)	21	6	2	13	28	71	20
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	21	3	6	12	18	39	15
14	Western City Rangers (W)	21	3	2	16	25	58	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
NWS Spirit (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Bulls FC Academy (W)	1-4 L	0-1 L
Sydney University (W)	0-0 D	3-2 W
Gladesville Ravens (W)	3-0 W	5-1 W
University NSW (W)	1-3 L	0-0 D
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	0-1 L	0-2 L
Macarthur Rams (W)	1-2 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sydney Olympic FC (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Illawarra Stingrays (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-3	1-6	4	2	L
19/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
12/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-3	1-4	1	3	L
05/07	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
28/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
21/06	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	1-3	5	0	L
14/06	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
07/06	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	0	1	L
31/05	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
26/05	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	0-1	0-3	2	0	L

Sydney Olympic FC (W)

WLLDWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	3-0	2	1	W
19/07	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
11/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
05/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
28/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
21/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
14/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-2	8	0	D
07/06	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
31/05	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
24/05	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	5-1	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Illawarra Stingrays (W) vs Sydney Olympic FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sydney Olympic FC (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Illawarra Stingrays (W) 26%, draw 24%, Sydney Olympic FC (W) 50%.

How many goals are expected in Illawarra Stingrays (W) vs Sydney Olympic FC (W)?

The model expects 3 goals (Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1.23 · Sydney Olympic FC (W) 1.77), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Illawarra Stingrays (W) vs Sydney Olympic FC (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.