Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 11/07, 07:00

Prediction: APIA Leichardt (W) vs Western City Rangers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.3Total

APIA Leichardt (W)3.15

Western City Rangers (W)1.15

1X2

82% 11% 7%

APIA Leichardt (W) Draw Western City Rangers (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

APIA Leichardt (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Western City Rangers (W) 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

APIA Leichardt (W) 3–1 Western City Rangers (W) (4 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · APIA Leichardt (W) 1558 · Western City Rangers (W) 1371

	APIA Leichardt (W)	Draw	Western City Rangers (W)
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	86%	9%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 4.3 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours APIA Leichardt (W) (rating 1558 vs 1371).
H2H favours APIA Leichardt (W): 3-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	APIA Leichardt (W)	Western City Rangers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.6	0.7 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.2 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.2	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.1	2.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · APIA Leichardt (W) 3–0–1 Western City Rangers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Western City Rangers (W)	1-4 HT 0-1	APIA Leichardt (W)
17/07/25 Australia New South Wales Cup Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Western City Rangers (W)
29/06/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Western City Rangers (W)
30/03/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Western City Rangers (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	APIA Leichardt (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	University NSW (W)	18	13	4	1	39	13	43
2	Bulls FC Academy (W)	18	13	4	1	48	16	43
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	18	13	1	4	46	23	40
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	17	11	4	2	33	18	37
5	Sydney University (W)	18	8	4	6	41	32	28
6	Northern Tigers FC (W)	18	7	3	8	29	25	24
7	Manly Utd (W)	18	5	8	5	29	24	23
8	Gladesville Ravens (W)	18	6	3	9	26	32	21
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	17	6	3	8	24	29	21
10	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	18	6	2	10	32	35	20
11	Hills United FC (W)	18	5	2	11	19	28	17
12	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	18	3	5	10	15	28	14
13	NWS Spirit (W)	18	4	1	13	22	68	13
14	Western City Rangers (W)	18	2	2	14	17	49	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	APIA Leichardt (W)	Western City Rangers (W)
NWS Spirit (W)	2-1 W	0-4 L
Manly Utd (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Macarthur Rams (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
Hills United FC (W)	4-1 W	0-1 L
Sydney University (W)	3-0 W	2-5 L
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	2-3 L	1-4 L
University NSW (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Gladesville Ravens (W)	2-3 L	0-6 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: APIA Leichardt (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

APIA Leichardt (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
28/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-1	5	0	W
21/06	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
14/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	4-1	6	4	W
07/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	3-0	7	2	W
31/05	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-4	7	2	L
24/05	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-3	2	0	L
21/05	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
17/05	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	5-1	5	2	W
10/05	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	2-3	11	3	L

Western City Rangers (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/07	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
28/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	2-5	6	0	L
21/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-4	0-6	9	3	L
13/06	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-3	0-4	3	2	L
06/06	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
31/05	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
24/05	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
17/05	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-3	5	4	L
10/05	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
03/05	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-3	1-4	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in APIA Leichardt (W) vs Western City Rangers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a APIA Leichardt (W) win (82%). Probabilities: APIA Leichardt (W) 82%, draw 11%, Western City Rangers (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in APIA Leichardt (W) vs Western City Rangers (W)?

The model expects 4.3 goals (APIA Leichardt (W) 3.15 · Western City Rangers (W) 1.15), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in APIA Leichardt (W) vs Western City Rangers (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.