Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 19/07, 09:40

Prediction: Sydney Olympic FC (W) vs APIA Leichardt (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Sydney Olympic FC (W)1.26

APIA Leichardt (W)2.11

1X2

22% 22% 57%

Sydney Olympic FC (W) Draw APIA Leichardt (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sydney Olympic FC (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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APIA Leichardt (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Sydney Olympic FC (W) 0–2–4 APIA Leichardt (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sydney Olympic FC (W) 1461 · APIA Leichardt (W) 1572

	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	Draw	APIA Leichardt (W)
Our model	21%	23%	56%
Market	22%	21%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours APIA Leichardt (W) (rating 1461 vs 1572).
H2H favours APIA Leichardt (W): 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	APIA Leichardt (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	2.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	1.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney Olympic FC (W) 0–2–4 APIA Leichardt (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
17/08/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	APIA Leichardt (W)
18/05/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
17/07/24 Australia New South Wales Cup Women	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	APIA Leichardt (W)
03/07/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	APIA Leichardt (W)
17/03/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	3-0 HT 0-0	Sydney Olympic FC (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	19	14	4	1	52	17	46
2	University NSW (W)	19	13	5	1	39	13	44
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	19	14	1	4	51	24	43
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	19	11	4	4	34	21	37
5	Sydney University (W)	19	8	4	7	41	35	28
6	Northern Tigers FC (W)	19	8	3	8	31	26	27
7	Manly Utd (W)	19	6	8	5	30	24	26
8	Macarthur Rams (W)	19	7	3	9	27	33	24
9	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	19	6	3	10	32	35	21
10	Gladesville Ravens (W)	19	6	3	10	26	33	21
11	Hills United FC (W)	19	6	2	11	22	28	20
12	NWS Spirit (W)	19	5	1	13	26	70	16
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	19	3	5	11	16	32	14
14	Western City Rangers (W)	19	2	2	15	18	54	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	APIA Leichardt (W)
University NSW (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Hills United FC (W)	0-1 L	4-1 W
Sydney University (W)	3-2 W	3-0 W
Manly Utd (W)	2-2 D	2-1 W
NWS Spirit (W)	0-1 L	2-1 W
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	0-2 L	2-3 L
Western City Rangers (W)	3-1 W	5-1 W
Northern Tigers FC (W)	1-3 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: APIA Leichardt (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sydney Olympic FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
05/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
28/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
21/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
14/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-2	8	0	D
07/06	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
31/05	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
24/05	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	5-1	6	0	W
17/05	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	3-1	2	4	W
09/05	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-3	1-3	4	6	L

APIA Leichardt (W)

WLLLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-1	5-1	5	4	W
05/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
28/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-1	5	0	W
21/06	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
14/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	4-1	6	4	W
07/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	3-0	7	2	W
31/05	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-4	7	2	L
24/05	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-3	2	0	L
21/05	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
17/05	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	5-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney Olympic FC (W) vs APIA Leichardt (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an APIA Leichardt (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Sydney Olympic FC (W) 22%, draw 22%, APIA Leichardt (W) 57%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney Olympic FC (W) vs APIA Leichardt (W)?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Sydney Olympic FC (W) 1.26 · APIA Leichardt (W) 2.11), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney Olympic FC (W) vs APIA Leichardt (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.