Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 19/07, 07:00

Prediction: Macarthur Rams (W) vs Sydney University (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Macarthur Rams (W)1.8

Sydney University (W)1.64

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Macarthur Rams (W) Draw Sydney University (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Macarthur Rams (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Sydney University (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Macarthur Rams (W) 5–1 Sydney University (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Macarthur Rams (W) 1511 · Sydney University (W) 1448

	Macarthur Rams (W)	Draw	Sydney University (W)
Our model	41%	24%	35%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Macarthur Rams (W) (rating 1511 vs 1448).
H2H favours Macarthur Rams (W): 5-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Macarthur Rams (W)	Sydney University (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.8	1.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.1	1.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Macarthur Rams (W) 5–0–1 Sydney University (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney University (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Macarthur Rams (W)
10/08/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney University (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Macarthur Rams (W)
11/05/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Macarthur Rams (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Sydney University (W)
09/06/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney University (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Macarthur Rams (W)
10/03/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Macarthur Rams (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Sydney University (W)
03/09/23 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney University (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Macarthur Rams (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	19	14	4	1	52	17	46
2	University NSW (W)	19	13	5	1	39	13	44
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	19	14	1	4	51	24	43
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	19	11	4	4	34	21	37
5	Sydney University (W)	19	8	4	7	41	35	28
6	Northern Tigers FC (W)	19	8	3	8	31	26	27
7	Manly Utd (W)	19	6	8	5	30	24	26
8	Macarthur Rams (W)	19	7	3	9	27	33	24
9	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	19	6	3	10	32	35	21
10	Gladesville Ravens (W)	19	6	3	10	26	33	21
11	Hills United FC (W)	19	6	2	11	22	28	20
12	NWS Spirit (W)	19	5	1	13	26	70	16
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	19	3	5	11	16	32	14
14	Western City Rangers (W)	19	2	2	15	18	54	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Macarthur Rams (W)	Sydney University (W)
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	1-0 W	3-0 W
Hills United FC (W)	3-1 W	0-3 L
APIA Leichardt (W)	1-2 L	0-3 L
Bulls FC Academy (W)	0-5 L	0-6 L
Manly Utd (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Illawarra Stingrays (W)	2-1 W	0-0 D
Western City Rangers (W)	2-1 W	5-2 W
University NSW (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Macarthur Rams (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Macarthur Rams (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
11/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-4	4	2	L
05/07	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-1	4	0	W
21/06	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	1-2	2	1	L
14/06	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-3	0-5	8	1	L
07/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	5	0	D
31/05	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	2-1	8	3	W
24/05	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
17/05	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	3-2	7	2	W
09/05	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	2	1	L

Sydney University (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
05/07	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
28/06	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	5-2	4	0	W
21/06	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	2-3	5	4	L
14/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
07/06	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-3	1	2	L
31/05	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
23/05	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
17/05	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-0	2	1	W
10/05	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-6	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Macarthur Rams (W) vs Sydney University (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Macarthur Rams (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Macarthur Rams (W) 41%, draw 25%, Sydney University (W) 34%.

How many goals are expected in Macarthur Rams (W) vs Sydney University (W)?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Macarthur Rams (W) 1.8 · Sydney University (W) 1.64), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Macarthur Rams (W) vs Sydney University (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.