Prediction: Illawarra Stingrays (W) vs Sydney University (W)
Expected goals: 3.5 (Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1.43 · Sydney University (W) 2.08). The model gives 26% home, 23% draw, 52% away. Over 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Illawarra Stingrays (W) with 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; Sydney University (W) has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Illawarra Stingrays (W) won 5 and Sydney University (W) 1.
| Illawarra Stingrays (W) | Draw | Sydney University (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney University (W) (rating 1421 vs 1507).
- H2H favours Illawarra Stingrays (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Illawarra Stingrays (W) | Sydney University (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 2.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2.1 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 1.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Illawarra Stingrays (W) 5–0–1 Sydney University (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Sydney University (W) | 6-2 HT 3-1 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) |
| 08/06/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Sydney University (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) |
| 09/03/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sydney University (W) |
| 30/06/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Sydney University (W) |
| 01/04/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Sydney University (W) | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) |
| 26/07/23 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sydney University (W) |
Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University NSW (W) | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 42 |
| 2 | Bulls FC Academy (W) | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 47 | 16 | 40 |
| 3 | APIA Leichardt (W) | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 44 | 22 | 37 |
| 4 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 36 |
| 5 | Sydney University (W) | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 27 |
| 6 | Northern Tigers FC (W) | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 23 |
| 7 | Manly Utd (W) | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 22 |
| 8 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 20 |
| 9 | Gladesville Ravens (W) | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 20 |
| 10 | Macarthur Rams (W) | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hills United FC (W) | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 25 | 17 |
| 12 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 13 |
| 13 | NWS Spirit (W) | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 13 |
| 14 | Western City Rangers (W) | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | 48 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | Sydney University (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Gladesville Ravens (W) | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| University NSW (W) | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Northern Tigers FC (W) | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| APIA Leichardt (W) | 1-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Manly Utd (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sydney University (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Illawarra Stingrays (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/05 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
Sydney University (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Illawarra Stingrays (W) vs Sydney University (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sydney University (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Illawarra Stingrays (W) 26%, draw 23%, Sydney University (W) 52%.
How many goals are expected in Illawarra Stingrays (W) vs Sydney University (W)?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1.43 · Sydney University (W) 2.08), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Illawarra Stingrays (W) vs Sydney University (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.