Prediction: Sydney University (W) vs Hills United FC (W)
Expected goals: 3.11 (Sydney University (W) 1.76 · Hills United FC (W) 1.34). The model gives 47% home, 25% draw, 29% away. Over 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Sydney University (W) with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Hills United FC (W) has piled up 3-1-6 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Sydney University (W) and 0 for Hills United FC (W).
| Sydney University (W) | Draw | Hills United FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney University (W) (rating 1502 vs 1441).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sydney University (W) | Hills United FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0.2 | 1.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney University (W) 1–0–0 Hills United FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Hills United FC (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Sydney University (W) |
Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University NSW (W) | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Bulls FC Academy (W) | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 48 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | APIA Leichardt (W) | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 46 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 37 |
| 5 | Sydney University (W) | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 28 |
| 6 | Northern Tigers FC (W) | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 24 |
| 7 | Manly Utd (W) | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 23 |
| 8 | Gladesville Ravens (W) | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 21 |
| 9 | Macarthur Rams (W) | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 21 |
| 10 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 35 | 20 |
| 11 | Hills United FC (W) | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 17 |
| 12 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 14 |
| 13 | NWS Spirit (W) | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 68 | 13 |
| 14 | Western City Rangers (W) | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 49 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sydney University (W) | Hills United FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Western City Rangers (W) | 5-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Gladesville Ravens (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| APIA Leichardt (W) | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| University NSW (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Bulls FC Academy (W) | 0-6 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sydney University (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Hills United FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sydney University (W) vs Hills United FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sydney University (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Sydney University (W) 47%, draw 25%, Hills United FC (W) 29%.
How many goals are expected in Sydney University (W) vs Hills United FC (W)?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Sydney University (W) 1.76 · Hills United FC (W) 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sydney University (W) vs Hills United FC (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.