Prediction: Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) vs Northern Tigers FC (W)
Expected goals: 2.73 (Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 1.7 · Northern Tigers FC (W) 1.03). The model gives 53% home, 24% draw, 23% away. Under 3 goals (56%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) is 6-1-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Northern Tigers FC (W) 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) won 1 and Northern Tigers FC (W) 2.
| Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | Draw | Northern Tigers FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Northern Tigers FC (W): 2-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | Northern Tigers FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.2 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 1–0–2 Northern Tigers FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Northern Tigers FC (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) |
| 24/08/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Northern Tigers FC (W) |
| 24/05/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Northern Tigers FC (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) |
Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University NSW (W) | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Bulls FC Academy (W) | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 48 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | APIA Leichardt (W) | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 46 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 37 |
| 5 | Sydney University (W) | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 28 |
| 6 | Northern Tigers FC (W) | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 24 |
| 7 | Manly Utd (W) | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 23 |
| 8 | Gladesville Ravens (W) | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 21 |
| 9 | Macarthur Rams (W) | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 21 |
| 10 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 35 | 20 |
| 11 | Hills United FC (W) | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 17 |
| 12 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 14 |
| 13 | NWS Spirit (W) | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 68 | 13 |
| 14 | Western City Rangers (W) | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 49 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | Northern Tigers FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Gladesville Ravens (W) | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| University NSW (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Manly Utd (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| APIA Leichardt (W) | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| NWS Spirit (W) | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Northern Tigers FC (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 21/06 | Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
Northern Tigers FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) vs Northern Tigers FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 53%, draw 24%, Northern Tigers FC (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) vs Northern Tigers FC (W)?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 1.7 · Northern Tigers FC (W) 1.03), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) vs Northern Tigers FC (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.