Prediction: Bulls FC Academy (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Expected goals: 3.09 (Bulls FC Academy (W) 2.41 · Illawarra Stingrays (W) 0.68). The model gives 76% home, 15% draw, 9% away. Under 3.5 goals (56%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Bulls FC Academy (W) with 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over 10 games; Illawarra Stingrays (W) has piled up 1-2-7 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Bulls FC Academy (W) won 3 and Illawarra Stingrays (W) 2, with 1 draw.
| Bulls FC Academy (W) | Draw | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 17% | 8% |
| Market | 77% | 13% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bulls FC Academy (W) (rating 1626 vs 1409).
- H2H favours Bulls FC Academy (W): 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bulls FC Academy (W) | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.9 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 1.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bulls FC Academy (W) 3–1–2 Illawarra Stingrays (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Bulls FC Academy (W) |
| 20/07/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bulls FC Academy (W) |
| 19/04/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Bulls FC Academy (W) | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) |
| 21/07/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Bulls FC Academy (W) |
| 21/04/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Bulls FC Academy (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) |
| 16/07/23 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Bulls FC Academy (W) |
Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University NSW (W) | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Bulls FC Academy (W) | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 48 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | APIA Leichardt (W) | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 46 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 37 |
| 5 | Sydney University (W) | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 28 |
| 6 | Northern Tigers FC (W) | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 24 |
| 7 | Manly Utd (W) | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 23 |
| 8 | Gladesville Ravens (W) | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 21 |
| 9 | Macarthur Rams (W) | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 21 |
| 10 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 35 | 20 |
| 11 | Hills United FC (W) | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 17 |
| 12 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 14 |
| 13 | NWS Spirit (W) | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 68 | 13 |
| 14 | Western City Rangers (W) | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 49 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bulls FC Academy (W) | Illawarra Stingrays (W) |
|---|---|---|
| University NSW (W) | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Macarthur Rams (W) | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Hills United FC (W) | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Northern Tigers FC (W) | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Manly Utd (W) | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Sydney University (W) | 6-0 W | 0-0 D |
| APIA Leichardt (W) | 3-2 W | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Bulls FC Academy (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bulls FC Academy (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
Illawarra Stingrays (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/05 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bulls FC Academy (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bulls FC Academy (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Bulls FC Academy (W) 76%, draw 15%, Illawarra Stingrays (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in Bulls FC Academy (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Bulls FC Academy (W) 2.41 · Illawarra Stingrays (W) 0.68), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bulls FC Academy (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.