Prediction: Manly Utd (W) vs Gladesville Ravens (W)
Expected goals: 2.86 (Manly Utd (W) 1.7 · Gladesville Ravens (W) 1.17). The model gives 49% home, 25% draw, 26% away. Under 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Manly Utd (W) sits at 3-6-1 (W-D-L), while Gladesville Ravens (W) arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Manly Utd (W) and 1 for Gladesville Ravens (W), with 1 draw.
| Manly Utd (W) | Draw | Gladesville Ravens (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manly Utd (W) (rating 1527 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Manly Utd (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Manly Utd (W) | Gladesville Ravens (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 1.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manly Utd (W) 4–1–1 Gladesville Ravens (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Gladesville Ravens (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Manly Utd (W) |
| 10/08/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Gladesville Ravens (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Manly Utd (W) |
| 11/05/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Manly Utd (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Gladesville Ravens (W) |
| 04/08/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Gladesville Ravens (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Manly Utd (W) |
| 05/05/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Manly Utd (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gladesville Ravens (W) |
| 25/06/23 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Manly Utd (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gladesville Ravens (W) |
Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University NSW (W) | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Bulls FC Academy (W) | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 48 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | APIA Leichardt (W) | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 46 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 37 |
| 5 | Sydney University (W) | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 28 |
| 6 | Northern Tigers FC (W) | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 24 |
| 7 | Manly Utd (W) | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 23 |
| 8 | Gladesville Ravens (W) | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 21 |
| 9 | Macarthur Rams (W) | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 21 |
| 10 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 35 | 20 |
| 11 | Hills United FC (W) | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 17 |
| 12 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 14 |
| 13 | NWS Spirit (W) | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 68 | 13 |
| 14 | Western City Rangers (W) | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 49 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Manly Utd (W) | Gladesville Ravens (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Western City Rangers (W) | 1-1 D | 6-0 W |
| APIA Leichardt (W) | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Northern Tigers FC (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| Macarthur Rams (W) | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Sydney University (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| NWS Spirit (W) | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 5 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manly Utd (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 07/06 | Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 27/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Gladesville Ravens (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manly Utd (W) vs Gladesville Ravens (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Manly Utd (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Manly Utd (W) 49%, draw 25%, Gladesville Ravens (W) 26%.
How many goals are expected in Manly Utd (W) vs Gladesville Ravens (W)?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Manly Utd (W) 1.7 · Gladesville Ravens (W) 1.17), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Manly Utd (W) vs Gladesville Ravens (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.