Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 27/07, 00:00
Prediction: CT United vs Columbus Crew II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
CT United2.09
Columbus Crew II1.52
1X2
CT United
Draw
Columbus Crew II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CT United
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Columbus Crew II
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CT United
0–2
Columbus Crew II
(2 last)
- Columbus Crew II2-1CT United
- CT United1-3Columbus Crew II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CT United 1524 · Columbus Crew II 1573
| CT United | Draw | Columbus Crew II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 23% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Columbus Crew II (rating 1524 vs 1573).
- H2H favours Columbus Crew II: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CT United | Columbus Crew II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.1 | 3.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CT United 0–0–2 Columbus Crew II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 2-1 HT 0-0 | CT United |
| 11/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | CT United | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Columbus Crew II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 27 | 40 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 29 | 39 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 35 |
| 4 | Orlando City II | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 33 | 35 |
| 5 | Chattanooga FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 34 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 28 | 30 |
| 8 | CT United | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 28 |
| 9 | New York City FC II | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 17 | 34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 45 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CT United | Columbus Crew II |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC II | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| New York City FC II | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| FC Cincinnati II | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CT United (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CT United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 13/07 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
Columbus Crew II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16/07 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/05 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CT United vs Columbus Crew II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CT United win (50%). Probabilities: CT United 50%, draw 23%, Columbus Crew II 27%.
How many goals are expected in CT United vs Columbus Crew II?
The model expects 3.61 goals (CT United 2.09 · Columbus Crew II 1.52), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CT United vs Columbus Crew II?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.