Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 01/08, 07:00

Prediction: North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick Juventus

Team pages: North Sunshine Eagles · Brunswick Juventus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

North Sunshine Eagles1.47

Brunswick Juventus1.82

1X2

31% 23% 46%

North Sunshine Eagles Draw Brunswick Juventus

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

North Sunshine Eagles 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Brunswick Juventus 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

North Sunshine Eagles 2–1–0 Brunswick Juventus (3 last)

Brunswick Juventus1-2North Sunshine Eagles
Brunswick Juventus0-0North Sunshine Eagles
North Sunshine Eagles1-0Brunswick Juventus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · North Sunshine Eagles 1491 · Brunswick Juventus 1552

	North Sunshine Eagles	Draw	Brunswick Juventus
Our model	30%	25%	45%
Market	32%	21%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brunswick Juventus (rating 1491 vs 1552).
H2H favours North Sunshine Eagles: 2-1-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	North Sunshine Eagles	Brunswick Juventus
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.4	2.5 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.80

X4.20

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:07 +5’	2.80	4.20	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · North Sunshine Eagles 2–1–0 Brunswick Juventus

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Brunswick Juventus	1-2 HT 0-0	North Sunshine Eagles
12/07/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Brunswick Juventus	0-0 HT 0-0	North Sunshine Eagles
26/04/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	North Sunshine Eagles	1-0 HT 0-0	Brunswick Juventus

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Melbourne Knights	22	15	2	5	42	17	47
2	Brunswick Juventus	22	15	0	7	44	30	45
3	Northcote City	22	13	4	5	40	24	43
4	Melbourne Victory NPL	22	11	4	7	51	35	37
5	Bulleen Lions	22	10	6	6	40	30	36
6	Eltham Redbacks	22	9	5	8	49	38	32
7	FC Melbourne Srbija	21	10	2	9	26	23	32
8	Manningham United Blues	22	9	3	10	38	46	30
9	North Geelong	21	9	1	11	33	42	28
10	Brunswick City	22	8	3	11	41	44	27
11	Western United FC NPL	22	8	1	13	44	59	25
12	Langwarrin	22	6	5	11	37	49	23
13	North Sunshine Eagles	22	5	4	13	29	38	19
14	Port Melbourne SC	22	3	4	15	12	51	13

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	North Sunshine Eagles	Brunswick Juventus
Melbourne Victory NPL	0-1 L	0-4 L
Melbourne Knights	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

North Sunshine Eagles

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
18/07	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
15/07	White City FK Beograd Australia Cup	0-0	3-2	4	5	W
11/07	Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1	3-0	5-0	8	1	W
07/07	Preston Lions Australia Victoria Cup	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
04/07	Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	2-2	8	10	D
20/06	Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
13/06	FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
06/06	Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
02/06	Avondale Australia Cup Qualifying	1-0	3-2	5	4	W

Brunswick Juventus

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	3-0	6	1	W
18/07	Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
15/07	Marlin Coast Rangers Australia Cup	2-0	4-0	7	5	W
10/07	Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-1	5-4	8	2	W
03/07	Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	3-0	7-2	4	2	W
30/06	Heidelberg Utd Australia Cup Qualifying	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
19/06	Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-5	9	4	L
16/06	Bulleen Lions Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
12/06	Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
08/06	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	0-4	9	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick Juventus?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brunswick Juventus win (46%). Probabilities: North Sunshine Eagles 31%, draw 23%, Brunswick Juventus 46%.

How many goals are expected in North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick Juventus?

The model expects 3.29 goals (North Sunshine Eagles 1.47 · Brunswick Juventus 1.82), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in North Sunshine Eagles vs Brunswick Juventus?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.