Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 01/08, 07:00

Prediction: Langwarrin vs Brunswick City

Team pages: Langwarrin · Brunswick City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4Total

Langwarrin2.04

Brunswick City1.97

1X2

40% 22% 38%

Langwarrin Draw Brunswick City

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Langwarrin 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Brunswick City 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Langwarrin 3–1–2 Brunswick City (6 last)

Brunswick City3-1Langwarrin
Brunswick City1-2Langwarrin
Langwarrin1-2Brunswick City
Langwarrin6-3Brunswick City
Brunswick City2-2Langwarrin
Langwarrin4-2Brunswick City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Langwarrin 1479 · Brunswick City 1505

	Langwarrin	Draw	Brunswick City
Our model	40%	22%	38%
Market	41%	21%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 4 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Langwarrin: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Langwarrin	Brunswick City
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	1.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.7	1.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	2.9 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

12.20

X4.20

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:09 +3’	2.20	4.20	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Langwarrin 3–1–2 Brunswick City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Brunswick City	3-1 HT 0-0	Langwarrin
06/06/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Brunswick City	1-2 HT 0-2	Langwarrin
01/03/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Langwarrin	1-2 HT 0-0	Brunswick City
29/06/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Langwarrin	6-3 HT 2-2	Brunswick City
22/03/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Brunswick City	2-2 HT 0-1	Langwarrin
16/06/23 Australia Victoria Premier League 2	Langwarrin	4-2 HT 2-0	Brunswick City

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Melbourne Knights	22	15	2	5	42	17	47
2	Brunswick Juventus	22	15	0	7	44	30	45
3	Northcote City	22	13	4	5	40	24	43
4	Melbourne Victory NPL	22	11	4	7	51	35	37
5	Bulleen Lions	22	10	6	6	40	30	36
6	Eltham Redbacks	22	9	5	8	49	38	32
7	FC Melbourne Srbija	21	10	2	9	26	23	32
8	Manningham United Blues	22	9	3	10	38	46	30
9	North Geelong	21	9	1	11	33	42	28
10	Brunswick City	22	8	3	11	41	44	27
11	Western United FC NPL	22	8	1	13	44	59	25
12	Langwarrin	22	6	5	11	37	49	23
13	North Sunshine Eagles	22	5	4	13	29	38	19
14	Port Melbourne SC	22	3	4	15	12	51	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Langwarrin	Brunswick City
Bulleen Lions	1-3 L	1-1 D
Brunswick Juventus	0-1 L	2-7 L
Melbourne Victory NPL	3-3 D	1-4 L
Eltham Redbacks	1-6 L	3-1 W
Port Melbourne SC	5-0 W	3-1 W
Manningham United Blues	4-1 W	3-1 W
Northcote City	1-3 L	0-1 L
FC Melbourne Srbija	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Langwarrin (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Langwarrin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
18/07	Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
10/07	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-2	3-3	9	4	D
04/07	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-2	1-6	2	2	L
19/06	Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	5-0	8	0	W
13/06	Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	4-1	8	3	W
05/06	Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	1-3	3	6	L
30/05	FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	0-0	10	1	D
23/05	North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
16/05	North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1	3-2	4-2	1	8	W

Brunswick City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	5-0	6	2	W
17/07	Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
13/07	Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
03/07	Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-3	2-7	2	2	L
22/06	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-4	6	5	L
12/06	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	3-1	4	7	W
06/06	Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1	3-1	3-1	7	8	W
29/05	Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	3-1	6	0	W
22/05	Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
16/05	FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-2	1-2	9	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Langwarrin vs Brunswick City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Langwarrin win (40%). Probabilities: Langwarrin 40%, draw 22%, Brunswick City 38%.

How many goals are expected in Langwarrin vs Brunswick City?

The model expects 4 goals (Langwarrin 2.04 · Brunswick City 1.97), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Langwarrin vs Brunswick City?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.