Football · Iceland Premier League · 24/07, 22:00
Prediction: Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.93Total
Vikingur Reykjavik2.56
Keflavik1.38
1X2
Vikingur Reykjavik
Draw
Keflavik
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vikingur Reykjavik
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Keflavik
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vikingur Reykjavik
5–1–0
Keflavik
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vikingur Reykjavik (rating 1613 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Vikingur Reykjavik: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Keflavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.9 | 2.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Reykjavik 5–1–0 Keflavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 08/07/23 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 04/05/23 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Keflavik |
| 11/09/22 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 28/04/22 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 4-1 HT 4-0 | Keflavik |
| 19/07/21 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 11 | 40 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 36 | 35 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 28 | 33 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 26 | 26 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 19 |
| 6 | Valur Reykjavik | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 19 |
| 7 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 33 | 16 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 15 |
| 9 | IA Akranes | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 15 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 14 |
| 11 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 12 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vikingur Reykjavik | Keflavik |
|---|---|---|
| Thor Akureyri | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Breidablik | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Fram Reykjavik | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| KR Reykjavik | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| IA Akranes | 2-1 W | 5-2 W |
| Valur Reykjavik | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vikingur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 14/07 | Gyori ETO UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 07/07 | Gyori ETO UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 8 | W |
| 28/06 | Breidablik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 25/06 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/06 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | IA Akranes Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Keflavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vikingur Reykjavik win (62%). Probabilities: Vikingur Reykjavik 62%, draw 19%, Keflavik 18%.
How many goals are expected in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?
The model expects 3.93 goals (Vikingur Reykjavik 2.56 · Keflavik 1.38), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.