Football · Iceland Premier League · 09/08, 20:00
Prediction: IA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri
Team pages: IA Akranes · Thor Akureyri
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.77Total
IA Akranes2.47
Thor Akureyri1.29
1X2
IA Akranes
Draw
Thor Akureyri
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
IA Akranes
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Thor Akureyri
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IA Akranes
5–1–0
Thor Akureyri
(6 last)
- Thor Akureyri1-2IA Akranes
- IA Akranes1-1Thor Akureyri
- Thor Akureyri2-3IA Akranes
- IA Akranes4-0Thor Akureyri
- IA Akranes3-1Thor Akureyri
- IA Akranes4-1Thor Akureyri
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IA Akranes 1471 · Thor Akureyri 1455
| IA Akranes | Draw | Thor Akureyri | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 20% | 18% |
| Market | 63% | 20% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours IA Akranes: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IA Akranes | Thor Akureyri | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IA Akranes 5–1–0 Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Iceland Premier League | Thor Akureyri | 1-2 HT 0-1 | IA Akranes |
| 07/02/26 Iceland League Cup | IA Akranes | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Thor Akureyri |
| 02/09/23 Iceland 1 Deild | Thor Akureyri | 2-3 HT 1-2 | IA Akranes |
| 29/06/23 Iceland 1 Deild | IA Akranes | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Thor Akureyri |
| 12/02/22 Iceland League Cup | IA Akranes | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Thor Akureyri |
| 01/03/19 Iceland League Cup | IA Akranes | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Thor Akureyri |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 56 | 14 | 44 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 29 | 37 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 37 | 36 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 29 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 33 | 22 |
| 6 | Valur Reykjavik | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 19 |
| 7 | IA Akranes | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 19 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 43 | 18 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 16 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 35 | 15 |
| 11 | Thor Akureyri | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 42 | 15 |
| 12 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 14 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IA Akranes | Thor Akureyri |
|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Stjarnan | 5-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Keflavik | 2-5 L | 0-1 L |
| KA Akureyri | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Breidablik | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Fram Reykjavik | 0-2 L | 1-6 L |
| KR Reykjavik | 3-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Valur Reykjavik | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Thor Akureyri (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IA Akranes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 29/06 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 12/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IA Akranes win (63%). Probabilities: IA Akranes 63%, draw 20%, Thor Akureyri 18%.
How many goals are expected in IA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri?
The model expects 3.77 goals (IA Akranes 2.47 · Thor Akureyri 1.29), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.