Football · Iceland Premier League · 09/08, 20:15
Prediction: KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjordur
Team pages: KA Akureyri · FH Hafnarfjordur
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
KA Akureyri1.7
FH Hafnarfjordur1.44
1X2
KA Akureyri
Draw
FH Hafnarfjordur
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
KA Akureyri
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
FH Hafnarfjordur
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KA Akureyri
3–1–2
FH Hafnarfjordur
(6 last)
- FH Hafnarfjordur1-2KA Akureyri
- FH Hafnarfjordur5-0KA Akureyri
- KA Akureyri3-2FH Hafnarfjordur
- FH Hafnarfjordur1-1KA Akureyri
- KA Akureyri2-3FH Hafnarfjordur
- FH Hafnarfjordur0-3KA Akureyri
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KA Akureyri 1445 · FH Hafnarfjordur 1489
| KA Akureyri | Draw | FH Hafnarfjordur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 26% | 32% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FH Hafnarfjordur (rating 1445 vs 1489).
- H2H favours KA Akureyri: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KA Akureyri | FH Hafnarfjordur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.6 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.1 | 3 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KA Akureyri 3–1–2 FH Hafnarfjordur
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Iceland Premier League | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-2 HT 1-0 | KA Akureyri |
| 13/07/25 Iceland Premier League | FH Hafnarfjordur | 5-0 HT 2-0 | KA Akureyri |
| 27/04/25 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 3-2 HT 1-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur |
| 08/07/24 Iceland Premier League | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-1 HT 1-0 | KA Akureyri |
| 13/04/24 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 2-3 HT 1-2 | FH Hafnarfjordur |
| 30/08/23 Iceland Premier League | FH Hafnarfjordur | 0-3 HT 0-2 | KA Akureyri |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 56 | 14 | 44 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 29 | 37 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 37 | 36 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 29 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 33 | 22 |
| 6 | Valur Reykjavik | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 19 |
| 7 | IA Akranes | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 19 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 43 | 18 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 16 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 35 | 15 |
| 11 | Thor Akureyri | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 42 | 15 |
| 12 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 14 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KA Akureyri | FH Hafnarfjordur |
|---|---|---|
| Keflavik | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| IA Akranes | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Stjarnan | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Breidablik | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Fram Reykjavik | 3-4 L | 0-0 D |
| KR Reykjavik | 3-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Valur Reykjavik | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 7 L | 2 W 6 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FH Hafnarfjordur (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KA Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 27/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 28/06 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
FH Hafnarfjordur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 20/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjordur?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KA Akureyri win (43%). Probabilities: KA Akureyri 43%, draw 25%, FH Hafnarfjordur 32%.
How many goals are expected in KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjordur?
The model expects 3.14 goals (KA Akureyri 1.7 · FH Hafnarfjordur 1.44), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjordur?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.