Football · Iceland Premier League · 10/08, 21:15
Prediction: Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik
Team pages: Fram Reykjavik · KR Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.47Total
Fram Reykjavik2.1
KR Reykjavik2.37
1X2
Fram Reykjavik
Draw
KR Reykjavik
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
2-2
Recent form · 10 last
Fram Reykjavik
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
KR Reykjavik
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fram Reykjavik
2–1–3
KR Reykjavik
(6 last)
- KR Reykjavik2-2Fram Reykjavik
- Fram Reykjavik0-1KR Reykjavik
- KR Reykjavik2-3Fram Reykjavik
- Fram Reykjavik1-3KR Reykjavik
- KR Reykjavik7-1Fram Reykjavik
- Fram Reykjavik1-0KR Reykjavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fram Reykjavik 1563 · KR Reykjavik 1543
| Fram Reykjavik | Draw | KR Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 21% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 22% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.47 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours KR Reykjavik: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fram Reykjavik | KR Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.6 | 3.2 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.3 | 3.2 / 8.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fram Reykjavik 2–1–3 KR Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Iceland Premier League | KR Reykjavik | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 18/08/25 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 0-1 HT 0-1 | KR Reykjavik |
| 23/05/25 Iceland Premier League | KR Reykjavik | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 14/12/24 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | Fram Reykjavik | 1-3 HT 1-1 | KR Reykjavik |
| 29/09/24 Iceland Premier League | KR Reykjavik | 7-1 HT 4-0 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 11/07/24 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 1-0 HT 0-0 | KR Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 56 | 14 | 44 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 29 | 37 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 37 | 36 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 29 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 33 | 22 |
| 6 | Valur Reykjavik | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 19 |
| 7 | IA Akranes | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 19 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 43 | 18 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 16 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 35 | 15 |
| 11 | Thor Akureyri | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 42 | 15 |
| 12 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 14 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fram Reykjavik | KR Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-1 W | 5-2 W |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Valur Reykjavik | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 6-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Keflavik | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| IA Akranes | 2-0 W | 5-3 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 0-5 L | 0-2 L |
| KA Akureyri | 4-3 W | 5-3 W |
| Breidablik | 4-3 W | 3-6 L |
| Stjarnan | 1-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 2 D 1 L | 5 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: KR Reykjavik (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fram Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 26/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 29/06 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
KR Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 12/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/06 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-2 | 5-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-3 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 22/05 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
2-4 | 3-6 | 9 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an KR Reykjavik win (44%). Probabilities: Fram Reykjavik 34%, draw 22%, KR Reykjavik 44%.
How many goals are expected in Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik?
The model expects 4.47 goals (Fram Reykjavik 2.1 · KR Reykjavik 2.37), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.