Football · Iceland Premier League · 29/08, 19:00
Prediction: IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri
Team pages: IBV Vestmannaeyjar · Thor Akureyri
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
IBV Vestmannaeyjar2.02
Thor Akureyri1.27
1X2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Draw
Thor Akureyri
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Thor Akureyri
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
4–2–0
Thor Akureyri
(6 last)
- Thor Akureyri1-4IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- Thor Akureyri0-3IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-1Thor Akureyri
- Thor Akureyri0-1IBV Vestmannaeyjar
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar2-1Thor Akureyri
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar2-2Thor Akureyri
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1469 · Thor Akureyri 1442
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Draw | Thor Akureyri | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 23% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours IBV Vestmannaeyjar: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Thor Akureyri | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4–2–0 Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Iceland Premier League | Thor Akureyri | 1-4 HT 0-3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 27/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild | Thor Akureyri | 0-3 HT 0-1 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 20/05/24 Iceland 1 Deild | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Thor Akureyri |
| 31/08/21 Iceland 1 Deild | Thor Akureyri | 0-1 HT 0-0 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
| 14/06/21 Iceland 1 Deild | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Thor Akureyri |
| 21/09/20 Iceland 1 Deild | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Thor Akureyri |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 18 | 51 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 72 | 45 | 43 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 38 | 43 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 37 | 30 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 34 | 28 |
| 6 | IA Akranes | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 38 | 26 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 48 | 24 |
| 8 | Valur Reykjavik | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 42 | 23 |
| 9 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 37 | 18 |
| 10 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 42 | 17 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | 16 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 50 | 15 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Thor Akureyri |
|---|---|---|
| Keflavik | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| IA Akranes | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Fram Reykjavik | 1-2 L | 1-6 L |
| Breidablik | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| KA Akureyri | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| KR Reykjavik | 2-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Valur Reykjavik | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Stjarnan | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 27/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 04/08 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IBV Vestmannaeyjar win (54%). Probabilities: IBV Vestmannaeyjar 54%, draw 23%, Thor Akureyri 23%.
How many goals are expected in IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri?
The model expects 3.3 goals (IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2.02 · Thor Akureyri 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.