Football · Iceland Premier League · 30/08, 21:15

Prediction: Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes

Team pages: Valur Reykjavik · IA Akranes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

Valur Reykjavik1.95

IA Akranes1.95

1X2

39% 23% 39%

Valur Reykjavik Draw IA Akranes

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Valur Reykjavik 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLLWDL

IA Akranes 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWDWWD

Head-to-head

Valur Reykjavik 2–2–2 IA Akranes (6 last)

IA Akranes1-0Valur Reykjavik
IA Akranes2-1Valur Reykjavik
IA Akranes2-2Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik6-1IA Akranes
IA Akranes1-1Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik6-1IA Akranes

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IA Akranes (rating 1444 vs 1499).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Valur Reykjavik	IA Akranes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	2.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.3	2.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.93

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.04 → 2.04	Pinn 2.04
X	4.17 → 4.17	Pinn 4.17
2	2.95 → 2.95	Pinn 2.95

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:34	2.04	4.17	2.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Valur Reykjavik 2–2–2 IA Akranes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/06/26 Iceland Premier League	IA Akranes	1-0 HT 1-0	Valur Reykjavik
26/02/26 Iceland League Cup	IA Akranes	2-1 HT 2-1	Valur Reykjavik
05/08/25 Iceland Premier League	IA Akranes	2-2 HT 0-2	Valur Reykjavik
10/05/25 Iceland Premier League	Valur Reykjavik	6-1 HT 1-0	IA Akranes
15/02/25 Iceland League Cup	IA Akranes	1-1 HT 1-0	Valur Reykjavik
26/10/24 Iceland Premier League	Valur Reykjavik	6-1 HT 4-1	IA Akranes

Standings · Iceland Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	20	16	3	1	64	18	51
2	KR Reykjavik	20	13	4	3	72	45	43
3	Fram Reykjavik	19	12	4	3	48	35	40
4	Breidablik	19	8	6	5	39	33	30
5	Keflavik	20	8	4	8	31	34	28
6	IA Akranes	20	7	5	8	34	38	26
7	Stjarnan	20	7	3	10	38	48	24
8	Valur Reykjavik	20	7	2	11	35	42	23
9	FH Hafnarfjordur	20	3	9	8	25	37	18
10	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	20	4	5	11	30	42	17
11	KA Akureyri	20	4	4	12	31	45	16
12	Thor Akureyri	20	4	3	13	20	50	15

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valur Reykjavik	IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik	0-2 L	2-2 D
KA Akureyri	4-4 D	2-3 L
Breidablik	3-1 W	1-2 L
Stjarnan	2-3 L	5-1 W
Fram Reykjavik	2-3 L	0-2 L
FH Hafnarfjordur	0-2 L	1-1 D
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0-1 L	3-1 W
Thor Akureyri	4-2 W	2-0 W
Keflavik	1-1 D	2-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valur Reykjavik

LDWLLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
17/08	KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League	1-3	4-4	9	0	D
09/08	Breidablik Iceland Premier League	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
03/08	Stjarnan Iceland Premier League	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
18/07	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-3	2-3	7	4	L
12/07	FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
04/07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
28/06	Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League	2-0	4-2	3	4	W
21/06	Keflavik Iceland Premier League	1-0	1-1	12	2	D
16/06	IA Akranes Iceland Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	8	L

IA Akranes

LLLLLWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
16/08	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
09/08	Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
02/08	Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
26/07	Stjarnan Iceland Premier League	3-0	5-1	2	2	W
20/07	Keflavik Iceland Premier League	0-2	2-5	5	3	L
12/07	KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League	1-0	2-3	6	3	L
04/07	Breidablik Iceland Premier League	1-0	1-2	5	1	L
29/06	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
22/06	KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	2-2	3-5	11	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Valur Reykjavik win (39%). Probabilities: Valur Reykjavik 39%, draw 23%, IA Akranes 39%.

How many goals are expected in Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes?

The model expects 3.9 goals (Valur Reykjavik 1.95 · IA Akranes 1.95), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.