Football · Iceland Premier League · 06/09, 16:00
Prediction: Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik
Team pages: Vikingur Reykjavik · Fram Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.2Total
Vikingur Reykjavik2.68
Fram Reykjavik1.52
1X2
Vikingur Reykjavik
Draw
Fram Reykjavik
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Vikingur Reykjavik
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Fram Reykjavik
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vikingur Reykjavik
4–2–0
Fram Reykjavik
(6 last)
- Fram Reykjavik0-5Vikingur Reykjavik
- Fram Reykjavik2-4Vikingur Reykjavik
- Vikingur Reykjavik1-1Fram Reykjavik
- Vikingur Reykjavik2-1Fram Reykjavik
- Fram Reykjavik2-2Vikingur Reykjavik
- Vikingur Reykjavik3-2Fram Reykjavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vikingur Reykjavik 1538 · Fram Reykjavik 1528
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Fram Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 19% | 20% |
| Market | 61% | 20% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Vikingur Reykjavik: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 16.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.3 | 2.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.6 / 8.2 | 4.1 / 8.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Reykjavik 4–2–0 Fram Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 04/04/26 Iceland Cup | Fram Reykjavik | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 24/01/26 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 21/09/25 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 27/07/25 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 05/05/25 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Fram Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 65 | 19 | 52 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 73 | 46 | 44 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 54 | 40 | 44 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 39 | 30 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 36 | 28 |
| 6 | IA Akranes | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 40 | 27 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 48 | 27 |
| 8 | Valur Reykjavik | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 44 | 24 |
| 9 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 21 |
| 10 | Thor Akureyri | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 50 | 18 |
| 11 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 43 | 17 |
| 12 | KA Akureyri | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 47 | 17 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vikingur Reykjavik | Fram Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| KR Reykjavik | 1-1 D | 2-5 L |
| Valur Reykjavik | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| IA Akranes | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Keflavik | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Thor Akureyri | 1-2 L | 6-1 W |
| KA Akureyri | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Breidablik | 4-1 W | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 1 L | 5 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Vikingur Reykjavik (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vikingur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 02/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 8 | W |
| 25/06 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Fram Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
4-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 2-5 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 26/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 29/06 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vikingur Reykjavik win (61%). Probabilities: Vikingur Reykjavik 61%, draw 19%, Fram Reykjavik 19%.
How many goals are expected in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
The model expects 4.2 goals (Vikingur Reykjavik 2.68 · Fram Reykjavik 1.52), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.