Football · Iceland Premier League · 13/09, 18:00
Prediction: Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik
Team pages: Fram Reykjavik · Breidablik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.04Total
Fram Reykjavik2.35
Breidablik1.69
1X2
Fram Reykjavik
Draw
Breidablik
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Fram Reykjavik
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Breidablik
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fram Reykjavik
4–1–1
Breidablik
(6 last)
- Breidablik3-4Fram Reykjavik
- Fram Reykjavik4-3Breidablik
- Breidablik3-1Fram Reykjavik
- Breidablik1-1Fram Reykjavik
- Fram Reykjavik4-2Breidablik
- Breidablik1-3Fram Reykjavik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fram Reykjavik 1544 · Breidablik 1449
| Fram Reykjavik | Draw | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 21% | 27% |
| Market | 51% | 22% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fram Reykjavik (rating 1544 vs 1449).
- H2H favours Fram Reykjavik: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 15.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fram Reykjavik | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.2 / 8.3 | 2.5 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fram Reykjavik 4–1–1 Breidablik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/26 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 3-4 HT 1-4 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 29/05/26 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 4-3 HT 3-1 | Breidablik |
| 05/10/25 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 23/06/25 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fram Reykjavik |
| 13/04/25 Iceland Premier League | Fram Reykjavik | 4-2 HT 0-2 | Breidablik |
| 04/02/25 Iceland League Cup | Breidablik | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Fram Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 67 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 42 | 45 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 74 | 49 | 44 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 41 | 30 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 41 | 30 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 38 | 28 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fram Reykjavik | Breidablik |
|---|---|---|
| KA Akureyri | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Stjarnan | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| KR Reykjavik | 2-5 L | 3-3 D |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Valur Reykjavik | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Thor Akureyri | 6-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Keflavik | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Fram Reykjavik (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fram Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
4-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 2-5 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 26/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
Breidablik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 27/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fram Reykjavik win (52%). Probabilities: Fram Reykjavik 52%, draw 22%, Breidablik 27%.
How many goals are expected in Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik?
The model expects 4.04 goals (Fram Reykjavik 2.35 · Breidablik 1.69), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.