Football · Iceland Premier League · 06/09, 16:00
Prediction: KA Akureyri vs Breidablik
Team pages: KA Akureyri · Breidablik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.92Total
KA Akureyri1.95
Breidablik1.97
1X2
KA Akureyri
Draw
Breidablik
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
KA Akureyri
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Breidablik
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KA Akureyri
0–1–5
Breidablik
(6 last)
- Breidablik3-1KA Akureyri
- Breidablik1-1KA Akureyri
- KA Akureyri0-1Breidablik
- Breidablik3-1KA Akureyri
- KA Akureyri0-5Breidablik
- KA Akureyri2-3Breidablik
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Breidablik (rating 1443 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Breidablik: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KA Akureyri | Breidablik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.5 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 3.1 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KA Akureyri 0–1–5 Breidablik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 3-1 HT 0-0 | KA Akureyri |
| 03/08/25 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 1-1 HT 1-1 | KA Akureyri |
| 11/05/25 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Breidablik |
| 30/03/25 Iceland Super Cup | Breidablik | 3-1 HT 3-0 | KA Akureyri |
| 15/02/25 Iceland League Cup | KA Akureyri | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Breidablik |
| 01/09/24 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Breidablik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 18 | 51 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 54 | 40 | 44 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 72 | 45 | 43 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 37 | 30 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 36 | 28 |
| 6 | IA Akranes | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 40 | 27 |
| 7 | Valur Reykjavik | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 44 | 24 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 48 | 24 |
| 9 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 21 |
| 10 | Thor Akureyri | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 50 | 18 |
| 11 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 43 | 17 |
| 12 | KA Akureyri | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 47 | 17 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KA Akureyri | Breidablik |
|---|---|---|
| Fram Reykjavik | 2-2 D | 3-4 L |
| KR Reykjavik | 3-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Valur Reykjavik | 4-4 D | 1-3 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Keflavik | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| IA Akranes | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KA Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 09/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 05/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 27/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 28/06 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
Breidablik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 27/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 13/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KA Akureyri vs Breidablik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KA Akureyri win (39%). Probabilities: KA Akureyri 39%, draw 22%, Breidablik 39%.
How many goals are expected in KA Akureyri vs Breidablik?
The model expects 3.92 goals (KA Akureyri 1.95 · Breidablik 1.97), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in KA Akureyri vs Breidablik?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.