Prediction: Los Angeles FC II vs Real Monarchs SLC
Expected goals: 3.16 (Los Angeles FC II 1.79 · Real Monarchs SLC 1.37). The model gives 47% home, 24% draw, 29% away. Under 3.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Los Angeles FC II is 6-1-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Real Monarchs SLC 3-1-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles FC II won 2 and Real Monarchs SLC 2, with 2 draws.
| Los Angeles FC II | Draw | Real Monarchs SLC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Los Angeles FC II (rating 1527 vs 1453).
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Los Angeles FC II | Real Monarchs SLC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 5.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC II 2–2–2 Real Monarchs SLC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Real Monarchs SLC |
| 15/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Real Monarchs SLC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 20/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Real Monarchs SLC |
| 18/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Real Monarchs SLC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 24/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Real Monarchs SLC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 24/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Real Monarchs SLC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 37 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 29 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 29 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
| 7 | Minnesota United FC II | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 26 |
| 8 | The Town | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 17 | 25 |
| 9 | Real Monarchs SLC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | 21 |
| 10 | Tacoma Defiance | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 21 |
| 11 | North Texas SC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 19 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 36 | 14 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 13 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Los Angeles FC II | Real Monarchs SLC |
|---|---|---|
| Ventura County FC | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Tacoma Defiance | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| The Town | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Portland Timbers II | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Monarchs SLC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 25/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 04/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/04 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Real Monarchs SLC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Los Angeles FC II vs Real Monarchs SLC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Los Angeles FC II win (47%). Probabilities: Los Angeles FC II 47%, draw 24%, Real Monarchs SLC 29%.
How many goals are expected in Los Angeles FC II vs Real Monarchs SLC?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Los Angeles FC II 1.79 · Real Monarchs SLC 1.37), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC II vs Real Monarchs SLC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.