Prediction: Austin FC II vs Colorado Rapids II
Expected goals: 3.03 (Austin FC II 2.17 · Colorado Rapids II 0.86). The model gives 67% home, 20% draw, 13% away. Over 3 goals (50%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Austin FC II sits at 9-1-0 (W-D-L), while Colorado Rapids II arrives on a 1-3-6 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Austin FC II won 3 and Colorado Rapids II 2, with 1 draw.
| Austin FC II | Draw | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 21% | 13% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austin FC II (rating 1609 vs 1440).
- H2H favours Austin FC II: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Austin FC II | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.7 | 1.4 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Austin FC II 3–1–2 Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
| 16/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Austin FC II |
| 09/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
| 08/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 4-2 HT 4-0 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 24/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 4-3 HT 2-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 08/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 37 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 29 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 29 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
| 7 | Minnesota United FC II | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 26 |
| 8 | The Town | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 17 | 25 |
| 9 | Real Monarchs SLC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | 21 |
| 10 | Tacoma Defiance | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 21 |
| 11 | North Texas SC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 19 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 36 | 14 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 13 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Austin FC II | Colorado Rapids II |
|---|---|---|
| St Louis City II | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Minnesota United FC II | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Ventura County FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Austin FC II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Austin FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 22/06 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 08/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 18/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/04 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Austin FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Austin FC II win (67%). Probabilities: Austin FC II 67%, draw 20%, Colorado Rapids II 13%.
How many goals are expected in Austin FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Austin FC II 2.17 · Colorado Rapids II 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Austin FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.