Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Ventura County FC
Expected goals: 3.42 (Vancouver Whitecaps II 1.64 · Ventura County FC 1.78). The model gives 35% home, 25% draw, 40% away. Over 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Vancouver Whitecaps II is 1-2-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Ventura County FC 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Vancouver Whitecaps II and 4 for Ventura County FC.
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | Draw | Ventura County FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 24% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 25% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ventura County FC (rating 1412 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Ventura County FC: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | Ventura County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.1 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver Whitecaps II 2–0–4 Ventura County FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 02/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 04/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 19/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Ventura County FC |
| 28/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Ventura County FC |
| 24/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 13 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 32 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 29 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| 7 | Minnesota United FC II | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 26 |
| 8 | The Town | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 17 | 25 |
| 9 | Real Monarchs SLC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 23 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 22 |
| 11 | Tacoma Defiance | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 21 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 36 | 14 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 13 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vancouver Whitecaps II | Ventura County FC |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids II | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| The Town | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Portland Timbers II | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Tacoma Defiance | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Los Angeles FC II | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ventura County FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vancouver Whitecaps II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Ventura County FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 07/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Ventura County FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ventura County FC win (40%). Probabilities: Vancouver Whitecaps II 35%, draw 25%, Ventura County FC 40%.
How many goals are expected in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Ventura County FC?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Vancouver Whitecaps II 1.64 · Ventura County FC 1.78), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Ventura County FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.