Prediction: Real Monarchs SLC vs Vancouver Whitecaps II
Expected goals: 3.49 (Real Monarchs SLC 2.13 · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1.37). The model gives 54% home, 23% draw, 23% away. Over 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Real Monarchs SLC sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Vancouver Whitecaps II arrives on a 2-1-7 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Real Monarchs SLC and 0 for Vancouver Whitecaps II, with 2 draws.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Monarchs SLC (rating 1482 vs 1423).
- H2H favours Real Monarchs SLC: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Monarchs SLC | Vancouver Whitecaps II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 1.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Monarchs SLC 4–2–0 Vancouver Whitecaps II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Real Monarchs SLC |
| 22/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Real Monarchs SLC | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 05/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Real Monarchs SLC | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 30/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Real Monarchs SLC |
| 03/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Real Monarchs SLC |
| 29/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Real Monarchs SLC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 13 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 32 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 29 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
| 6 | The Town | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 28 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| 8 | Minnesota United FC II | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 26 |
| 9 | Real Monarchs SLC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 23 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 22 |
| 11 | Tacoma Defiance | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 21 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 50 | 13 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Monarchs SLC | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC II | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Ventura County FC | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Tacoma Defiance | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Portland Timbers II | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| The Town | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Colorado Rapids II | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Monarchs SLC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Monarchs SLC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
Vancouver Whitecaps II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-6 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Monarchs SLC vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Monarchs SLC win (54%). Probabilities: Real Monarchs SLC 54%, draw 23%, Vancouver Whitecaps II 23%.
How many goals are expected in Real Monarchs SLC vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
The model expects 3.49 goals (Real Monarchs SLC 2.13 · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Monarchs SLC vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.