Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 19/07, 04:00
Prediction: Ventura County FC vs Los Angeles FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
Ventura County FC1.95
Los Angeles FC II1.64
1X2
Ventura County FC
Draw
Los Angeles FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ventura County FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Los Angeles FC II
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ventura County FC
1–2–3
Los Angeles FC II
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ventura County FC 1504 · Los Angeles FC II 1529
| Ventura County FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 23% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 24% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Los Angeles FC II: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ventura County FC | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.4 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ventura County FC 1–2–3 Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Ventura County FC |
| 21/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 10/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 15/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Ventura County FC |
| 12/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 15/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Ventura County FC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 14 | 37 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | Minnesota United FC II | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 29 |
| 5 | Ventura County FC | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 29 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 30 | 29 |
| 8 | The Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 28 |
| 9 | Real Monarchs SLC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 31 | 26 |
| 10 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | North Texas SC | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 40 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 50 | 13 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 12 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ventura County FC | Los Angeles FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Houston Dynamo II | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Tacoma Defiance | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Portland Timbers II | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ventura County FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ventura County FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 07/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 25/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 04/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ventura County FC vs Los Angeles FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ventura County FC win (45%). Probabilities: Ventura County FC 45%, draw 24%, Los Angeles FC II 32%.
How many goals are expected in Ventura County FC vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Ventura County FC 1.95 · Los Angeles FC II 1.64), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ventura County FC vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.