Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 19/07, 02:00
Prediction: The Town vs North Texas SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
The Town2.07
North Texas SC1.34
1X2
The Town
Draw
North Texas SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
The Town
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
North Texas SC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
The Town
3–2–1
North Texas SC
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Town (rating 1535 vs 1480).
- H2H favours The Town: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| The Town | North Texas SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · The Town 3–2–1 North Texas SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | The Town |
| 20/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 3-0 HT 1-0 | North Texas SC |
| 24/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | The Town |
| 13/05/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 1-0 HT 0-0 | North Texas SC |
| 06/04/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | The Town |
| 17/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | The Town |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 14 | 37 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | Minnesota United FC II | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 29 |
| 5 | Ventura County FC | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 29 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 30 | 29 |
| 8 | The Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 28 |
| 9 | Real Monarchs SLC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 31 | 26 |
| 10 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | North Texas SC | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 40 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 50 | 13 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 12 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | The Town | North Texas SC |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City II | 6-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Portland Timbers II | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: The Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
The Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 18/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
North Texas SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in The Town vs North Texas SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a The Town win (53%). Probabilities: The Town 53%, draw 23%, North Texas SC 24%.
How many goals are expected in The Town vs North Texas SC?
The model expects 3.41 goals (The Town 2.07 · North Texas SC 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in The Town vs North Texas SC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.