Prediction: Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas SC
Expected goals: 3.11 (Colorado Rapids II 1.56 · North Texas SC 1.55). The model gives 38% home, 25% draw, 37% away. Under 3.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Colorado Rapids II with 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; North Texas SC has piled up 3-4-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Colorado Rapids II and 1 for North Texas SC, with 2 draws.
| Colorado Rapids II | Draw | North Texas SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North Texas SC (rating 1427 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Colorado Rapids II: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colorado Rapids II | North Texas SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Rapids II 3–2–1 North Texas SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 03/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 19/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | North Texas SC |
| 21/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 02/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 15/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 2-0 HT 1-0 | North Texas SC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 13 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 32 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 29 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
| 6 | The Town | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 28 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| 8 | Minnesota United FC II | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 26 |
| 9 | Real Monarchs SLC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 23 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 22 |
| 11 | Tacoma Defiance | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 21 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 50 | 13 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colorado Rapids II | North Texas SC |
|---|---|---|
| Austin FC II | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Portland Timbers II | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| St Louis City II | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Minnesota United FC II | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 1-3 L | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: North Texas SC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
North Texas SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colorado Rapids II win (38%). Probabilities: Colorado Rapids II 38%, draw 25%, North Texas SC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas SC?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Colorado Rapids II 1.56 · North Texas SC 1.55), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas SC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.