Prediction: Los Angeles FC II vs Portland Timbers II
Expected goals: 3.25 (Los Angeles FC II 1.74 · Portland Timbers II 1.51). The model gives 43% home, 24% draw, 33% away. Under 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Los Angeles FC II sits at 6-2-2 (W-D-L), while Portland Timbers II arrives on a 6-1-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Los Angeles FC II and 3 for Portland Timbers II, with 1 draw.
| Los Angeles FC II | Draw | Portland Timbers II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Portland Timbers II: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Los Angeles FC II | Portland Timbers II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 2.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC II 2–1–3 Portland Timbers II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Portland Timbers II |
| 14/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 5-3 HT 1-2 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 14/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Portland Timbers II |
| 15/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 14/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 17/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Portland Timbers II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 13 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 32 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 29 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
| 6 | The Town | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 28 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| 8 | Minnesota United FC II | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 26 |
| 9 | Real Monarchs SLC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 23 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 22 |
| 11 | Tacoma Defiance | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 21 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 50 | 13 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Los Angeles FC II | Portland Timbers II |
|---|---|---|
| Real Monarchs SLC | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Houston Dynamo II | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Minnesota United FC II | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ventura County FC | 3-2 W | 3-3 D |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Tacoma Defiance | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| The Town | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Angeles FC II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 25/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 04/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Portland Timbers II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Los Angeles FC II vs Portland Timbers II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Los Angeles FC II win (43%). Probabilities: Los Angeles FC II 43%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers II 33%.
How many goals are expected in Los Angeles FC II vs Portland Timbers II?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Los Angeles FC II 1.74 · Portland Timbers II 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC II vs Portland Timbers II?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

