Prediction: Los Angeles FC II vs Portland Timbers II

Expected goals: 3.25 (Los Angeles FC II 1.74 · Portland Timbers II 1.51). The model gives 43% home, 24% draw, 33% away. Under 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Los Angeles FC II sits at 6-2-2 (W-D-L), while Portland Timbers II arrives on a 6-1-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Los Angeles FC II and 3 for Portland Timbers II, with 1 draw.

43%1
43% 24% 33%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Los Angeles FC II 1524 · Portland Timbers II 1540
Los Angeles FC IIDrawPortland Timbers II
Our model42%25%33%
Market43%24%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.25Los Angeles FC II 1.74 · Portland Timbers II 1.51
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Portland Timbers II: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Los Angeles FC IIPortland Timbers II
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.51.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 10.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.52.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.45 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC II 213 Portland Timbers II

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/04/26
USA MLS Next Pro League
Los Angeles FC II0-1
HT 0-1
Portland Timbers II
14/09/25
USA MLS Next Pro League
Portland Timbers II5-3
HT 1-2
Los Angeles FC II
14/07/25
USA MLS Next Pro League
Los Angeles FC II1-0
HT 0-0
Portland Timbers II
15/05/25
USA MLS Next Pro League
Portland Timbers II3-0
HT 2-0
Los Angeles FC II
14/09/24
USA MLS Next Pro League
Portland Timbers II2-3
HT 2-0
Los Angeles FC II
17/08/24
USA MLS Next Pro League
Los Angeles FC II2-2
HT 1-1
Portland Timbers II

Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Austin FC II 161231 341340
2 Houston Dynamo II 151023 351334
3 Portland Timbers II 17944 232232
4 Ventura County FC 18756 322729
5 St Louis City II 17755 282829
6 The Town 15834 371828
7 Los Angeles FC II 16754 282828
8 Minnesota United FC II 18738 252926
9 Real Monarchs SLC 17548 273023
10 North Texas SC 15555 262022
11 Tacoma Defiance 17548 182421
12 Vancouver Whitecaps II 184311 243817
13 Sporting Kansas City II 183312 235013
14 Colorado Rapids II 171511 15359

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLos Angeles FC IIPortland Timbers II
Real Monarchs SLC 2-2 D 1-4 L
Houston Dynamo II 3-1 W 0-3 L
Minnesota United FC II 1-0 W 2-1 W
Ventura County FC 3-2 W 3-3 D
Vancouver Whitecaps II 2-1 W 1-0 W
Tacoma Defiance 1-4 L 2-0 W
The Town 2-1 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Los Angeles FC II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Los Angeles FC II

WLWWWDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/07 Real Monarchs SLC
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-1 2-2 87 D
29/06 Houston Dynamo II
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-1 3-1 111 W
25/06 Minnesota United FC II
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-0 1-0 54 W
08/06 Austin FC II
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-0 0-2 36 L
24/05 St Louis City II
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-1 1-1 77 D
17/05 Ventura County FC
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-1 3-2 54 W
10/05 Real Monarchs SLC
USA MLS Next Pro League
2-1 3-1 28 W
04/05 Vancouver Whitecaps II
USA MLS Next Pro League
2-1 2-1 43 W
27/04 Tacoma Defiance
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-3 1-4 63 L
19/04 The Town
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-1 2-1 42 W

Portland Timbers II

DWWLWWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/07 Tacoma Defiance
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-0 2-0 45 W
27/06 The Town
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-1 2-3 84 L
21/06 Colorado Rapids II
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-0 2-0 56 W
13/06 Real Monarchs SLC
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-1 1-4 47 L
06/06 Vancouver Whitecaps II
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-0 1-0 33 W
31/05 Tacoma Defiance
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-0 1-0 66 W
24/05 Houston Dynamo II
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-1 0-3 46 L
18/05 The Town
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-0 1-0 95 W
14/05 Minnesota United FC II
USA MLS Next Pro League
0-0 2-1 53 W
10/05 Ventura County FC
USA MLS Next Pro League
1-2 3-3 87 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Los Angeles FC II vs Portland Timbers II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Los Angeles FC II win (43%). Probabilities: Los Angeles FC II 43%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers II 33%.

How many goals are expected in Los Angeles FC II vs Portland Timbers II?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Los Angeles FC II 1.74 · Portland Timbers II 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC II vs Portland Timbers II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.