Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 27/07, 01:00
Prediction: Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Houston Dynamo II1.46
Austin FC II1.44
1X2
Houston Dynamo II
Draw
Austin FC II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Houston Dynamo II
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Austin FC II
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Houston Dynamo II
2–2–2
Austin FC II
(6 last)
- Austin FC II1-1Houston Dynamo II
- Austin FC II2-0Houston Dynamo II
- Austin FC II1-1Houston Dynamo II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Houston Dynamo II 1539 · Austin FC II 1617
| Houston Dynamo II | Draw | Austin FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austin FC II (rating 1539 vs 1617).
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Houston Dynamo II | Austin FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 2.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 4.9 | 2 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Houston Dynamo II 2–2–2 Austin FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 26/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 31/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 28/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Austin FC II |
| 14/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 12/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Austin FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 15 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United FC II | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 32 | 29 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC II | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 30 | 29 |
| 8 | The Town | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs SLC | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas SC | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 44 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Houston Dynamo II | Austin FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids II | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| St Louis City II | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Minnesota United FC II | 4-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Los Angeles FC II | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Austin FC II (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Houston Dynamo II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 29/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 11 | L |
| 18/06 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
Austin FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 22/06 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 08/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 18/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Houston Dynamo II win (37%). Probabilities: Houston Dynamo II 37%, draw 27%, Austin FC II 36%.
How many goals are expected in Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Houston Dynamo II 1.46 · Austin FC II 1.44), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.