Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 27/07, 01:00
Prediction: FC Cincinnati II vs New England Revolution II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
FC Cincinnati II1.21
New England Revolution II1.69
1X2
FC Cincinnati II
Draw
New England Revolution II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Cincinnati II
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
New England Revolution II
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Cincinnati II
2–1–3
New England Revolution II
(6 last)
- FC Cincinnati II0-1New England Revolution II
- New England Revolution II2-1FC Cincinnati II
- FC Cincinnati II3-1New England Revolution II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Cincinnati II 1419 · New England Revolution II 1543
| FC Cincinnati II | Draw | New England Revolution II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 26% | 47% |
| Market | 27% | 25% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New England Revolution II (rating 1419 vs 1543).
- H2H favours New England Revolution II: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Cincinnati II | New England Revolution II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.2 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.9 | 2.4 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Cincinnati II 2–1–3 New England Revolution II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | FC Cincinnati II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | New England Revolution II |
| 15/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Cincinnati II |
| 22/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | FC Cincinnati II | 3-1 HT 0-1 | New England Revolution II |
| 15/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Cincinnati II |
| 13/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Cincinnati II |
| 07/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Cincinnati II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 27 | 40 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 29 | 39 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 35 |
| 4 | Orlando City II | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 40 | 33 | 35 |
| 5 | Chattanooga FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 34 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 28 | 30 |
| 8 | CT United | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 28 |
| 9 | New York City FC II | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 17 | 34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 45 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Cincinnati II | New England Revolution II |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC II | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Orlando City II | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| New York Red Bulls II | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Columbus Crew II | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| New York City FC II | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: New England Revolution II (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Cincinnati II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 13/07 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/07 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 29/06 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 19/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/06 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/05 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
New England Revolution II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 05/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Cincinnati II vs New England Revolution II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an New England Revolution II win (48%). Probabilities: FC Cincinnati II 27%, draw 25%, New England Revolution II 48%.
How many goals are expected in FC Cincinnati II vs New England Revolution II?
The model expects 2.9 goals (FC Cincinnati II 1.21 · New England Revolution II 1.69), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati II vs New England Revolution II?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.