Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 19/07, 01:00
Prediction: Houston Dynamo II vs Colorado Rapids II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Houston Dynamo II2.04
Colorado Rapids II1.07
1X2
Houston Dynamo II
Draw
Colorado Rapids II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Houston Dynamo II
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Colorado Rapids II
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Houston Dynamo II
4–1–1
Colorado Rapids II
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Houston Dynamo II 1563 · Colorado Rapids II 1421
| Houston Dynamo II | Draw | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Houston Dynamo II (rating 1563 vs 1421).
- H2H favours Houston Dynamo II: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Houston Dynamo II | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.1 | 1.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Houston Dynamo II 4–1–1 Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 02/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 14/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 07/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 10/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 23/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Colorado Rapids II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 14 | 37 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | Minnesota United FC II | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 29 |
| 5 | Ventura County FC | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 29 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 30 | 29 |
| 8 | The Town | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 28 |
| 9 | Real Monarchs SLC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 31 | 26 |
| 10 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | North Texas SC | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 40 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 50 | 13 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 12 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Houston Dynamo II | Colorado Rapids II |
|---|---|---|
| St Louis City II | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Minnesota United FC II | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Ventura County FC | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Portland Timbers II | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Houston Dynamo II (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Houston Dynamo II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 29/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 11 | L |
| 18/06 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Houston Dynamo II vs Colorado Rapids II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Houston Dynamo II win (59%). Probabilities: Houston Dynamo II 59%, draw 22%, Colorado Rapids II 19%.
How many goals are expected in Houston Dynamo II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Houston Dynamo II 2.04 · Colorado Rapids II 1.07), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.