Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 26/07, 02:45
Prediction: North Texas SC vs Los Angeles FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
North Texas SC1.59
Los Angeles FC II1.44
1X2
North Texas SC
Draw
Los Angeles FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
North Texas SC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Los Angeles FC II
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
North Texas SC
3–1–1
Los Angeles FC II
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · North Texas SC 1511 · Los Angeles FC II 1519
| North Texas SC | Draw | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours North Texas SC: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| North Texas SC | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · North Texas SC 3–1–1 Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 2-4 HT 2-0 | North Texas SC |
| 25/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 03/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-4 HT 0-2 | North Texas SC |
| 03/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 27/03/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | North Texas SC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Dynamo II | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Austin FC II | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United FC II | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 32 | 29 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC II | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 30 | 29 |
| 8 | The Town | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs SLC | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas SC | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 40 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | North Texas SC | Los Angeles FC II |
|---|---|---|
| St Louis City II | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Minnesota United FC II | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Austin FC II | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: North Texas SC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
North Texas SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 25/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 04/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in North Texas SC vs Los Angeles FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a North Texas SC win (41%). Probabilities: North Texas SC 41%, draw 26%, Los Angeles FC II 34%.
How many goals are expected in North Texas SC vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model expects 3.03 goals (North Texas SC 1.59 · Los Angeles FC II 1.44), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in North Texas SC vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.