Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 15/08, 01:00
Prediction: Houston Dynamo II vs Ventura County FC
Team pages: Houston Dynamo II · Ventura County FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Houston Dynamo II1.98
Ventura County FC1.36
1X2
Houston Dynamo II
Draw
Ventura County FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Houston Dynamo II
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Ventura County FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Houston Dynamo II
1–2–3
Ventura County FC
(6 last)
- Ventura County FC3-1Houston Dynamo II
- Ventura County FC1-0Houston Dynamo II
- Houston Dynamo II2-2Ventura County FC
- Ventura County FC1-1Houston Dynamo II
- Ventura County FC1-2Houston Dynamo II
- Houston Dynamo II0-4Ventura County FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Houston Dynamo II 1517 · Ventura County FC 1554
| Houston Dynamo II | Draw | Ventura County FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 51% | 23% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ventura County FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Houston Dynamo II | Ventura County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 2.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.4 | 2.9 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.7 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Houston Dynamo II 1–2–3 Ventura County FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 27/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 09/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Ventura County FC |
| 06/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 24/09/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 28/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Ventura County FC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 45 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 45 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 28 | 38 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 35 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 32 | 35 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 32 | 33 |
| 8 | The Town | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 25 | 31 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 29 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 53 | 19 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 49 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 42 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Houston Dynamo II | Ventura County FC |
|---|---|---|
| Real Monarchs SLC | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Colorado Rapids II | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Los Angeles FC II | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Tacoma Defiance | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Houston Dynamo II (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Houston Dynamo II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 29/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 11 | L |
| 18/06 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Ventura County FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Houston Dynamo II vs Ventura County FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Houston Dynamo II win (51%). Probabilities: Houston Dynamo II 51%, draw 23%, Ventura County FC 26%.
How many goals are expected in Houston Dynamo II vs Ventura County FC?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Houston Dynamo II 1.98 · Ventura County FC 1.36), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo II vs Ventura County FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.