Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 24/08, 01:00

Prediction: Crown Legacy vs Chattanooga FC

Team pages: Crown Legacy · Chattanooga FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Crown Legacy1.76

Chattanooga FC1.53

1X2

42% 25% 33%

Crown Legacy Draw Chattanooga FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Crown Legacy 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLWWWWDL

Chattanooga FC 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

DDDWDDWWWD

Head-to-head

Crown Legacy 3–1–2 Chattanooga FC (6 last)

Crown Legacy1-0Chattanooga FC
Chattanooga FC1-4Crown Legacy
Crown Legacy2-4Chattanooga FC
Chattanooga FC1-3Crown Legacy
Chattanooga FC2-1Crown Legacy
Crown Legacy1-1Chattanooga FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crown Legacy 1529 · Chattanooga FC 1536

	Crown Legacy	Draw	Chattanooga FC
Our model	42%	25%	33%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Crown Legacy: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Crown Legacy	Chattanooga FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.4	1.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.70

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.94 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:33 +1’	2.10	3.70	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:24 +10’	2.35	3.49	2.63
23:29 +2’	2.34▼	3.53▲	2.62▼
01:28 +1’	2.09▼	3.65▲	2.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Crown Legacy 3–1–2 Chattanooga FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League	Crown Legacy	1-0 HT 0-0	Chattanooga FC
01/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League	Chattanooga FC	1-4 HT 1-2	Crown Legacy
13/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	Crown Legacy	2-4 HT 1-0	Chattanooga FC
27/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	Chattanooga FC	1-3 HT 0-2	Crown Legacy
20/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	Chattanooga FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Crown Legacy
18/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League	Crown Legacy	1-1 HT 0-0	Chattanooga FC

Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	23	12	7	4	54	32	48
2	Chattanooga FC	23	11	7	5	43	32	44
3	Columbus Crew II	22	11	5	6	41	35	42
4	New England Revolution II	24	11	6	7	40	34	42
5	Atlanta United II	24	12	4	8	52	38	40
6	CT United	23	12	2	9	45	39	40
7	New York City FC II	23	11	4	8	42	35	39
8	New York Red Bulls II	23	11	4	8	45	38	38
9	Chicago Fire II	23	9	6	8	46	36	36
10	Orlando City II	24	8	7	9	43	48	35
11	Philadelphia Union II	23	9	4	10	28	32	33
12	Huntsville City	23	8	6	9	37	42	32
13	Toronto FC II	22	8	4	10	37	42	30
14	Carolina Core FC	23	5	8	10	32	40	26
15	FC Cincinnati II	23	4	2	17	24	53	16
16	Inter Miami CF II	22	2	4	16	20	53	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Crown Legacy	Chattanooga FC
Inter Miami CF II	2-0 W	1-0 W
Chicago Fire II	3-2 W	2-2 D
New York City FC II	0-3 L	1-1 D
Orlando City II	1-1 D	1-1 D
Atlanta United II	3-3 D	1-0 W
Carolina Core FC	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Chattanooga FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crown Legacy

LDDLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	CT United USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
13/08	Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League	2-1	2-2	5	8	D
08/08	Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
02/08	Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	3-1	6	6	W
25/07	New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	3-0	6	3	W
18/07	Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-1	3-2	10	2	W
12/07	New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-3	0-3	9	4	L
06/07	Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
28/06	Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-2	3-3	3	3	D
14/06	Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	0-2	4	7	L

Chattanooga FC

DDDWDDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
09/08	Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
01/08	Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
26/07	Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-0	4-0	3	5	W
19/07	Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	1-1	8	0	D
12/07	Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
05/07	Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
28/06	Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	2-2	6	1	D
22/06	New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	1-1	3	0	D
14/06	Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-0	4-4	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crown Legacy vs Chattanooga FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Crown Legacy win (42%). Probabilities: Crown Legacy 42%, draw 25%, Chattanooga FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Crown Legacy vs Chattanooga FC?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Crown Legacy 1.76 · Chattanooga FC 1.53), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Crown Legacy vs Chattanooga FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.