Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 16/08, 02:00
Prediction: Sporting Kansas City II vs Colorado Rapids II
Team pages: Sporting Kansas City II · Colorado Rapids II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Sporting Kansas City II1.67
Colorado Rapids II1.54
1X2
Sporting Kansas City II
Draw
Colorado Rapids II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting Kansas City II
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Colorado Rapids II
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sporting Kansas City II
2–1–3
Colorado Rapids II
(6 last)
- Colorado Rapids II1-3Sporting Kansas City II
- Colorado Rapids II2-2Sporting Kansas City II
- Sporting Kansas City II2-3Colorado Rapids II
- Sporting Kansas City II1-4Colorado Rapids II
- Colorado Rapids II3-0Sporting Kansas City II
- Colorado Rapids II0-1Sporting Kansas City II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sporting Kansas City II 1474 · Colorado Rapids II 1456
| Sporting Kansas City II | Draw | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 25% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Colorado Rapids II: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting Kansas City II | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.3 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.3 | 1.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting Kansas City II 2–1–3 Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Sporting Kansas City II |
| 16/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Sporting Kansas City II |
| 31/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Sporting Kansas City II | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 01/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Sporting Kansas City II | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 27/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Sporting Kansas City II |
| 16/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sporting Kansas City II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 45 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 35 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 32 | 35 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 32 | 33 |
| 8 | The Town | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 25 | 31 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 29 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 53 | 19 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 49 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 42 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sporting Kansas City II | Colorado Rapids II |
|---|---|---|
| Austin FC II | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Houston Dynamo II | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| North Texas SC | 1-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Ventura County FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Colorado Rapids II (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting Kansas City II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 20/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting Kansas City II vs Colorado Rapids II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting Kansas City II win (40%). Probabilities: Sporting Kansas City II 40%, draw 25%, Colorado Rapids II 35%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting Kansas City II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Sporting Kansas City II 1.67 · Colorado Rapids II 1.54), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting Kansas City II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.